Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 6, Thursday

Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City

I need some kind of specific hook for Thursday projections, because they never seem to have an effect at the top unless one of the top teams is playing. Philadelphia moved up to be the 5th most likely team to win the NFC, from 7th, and are now 47% likely to win the NFC East, up from 29%. New York, of course, moved in the opposite direction, from an 8% shot at the division to just under 2%, and they are the second least likely NFC representative in the Superbowl, just ahead of Arizona.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
LAR	5-0	0.609	93.88	97.20	87.76	51.66	29.56	16.66
KC	5-0	0.568	83.25	92.76	80.61	43.51	22.99	11.70
CHI	3-1	0.584	67.00	82.96	65.08	35.69	18.89	10.15
BAL	3-2	0.605	34.86	65.78	48.28	27.76	15.85	8.67
NO	4-1	0.557	53.26	77.45	56.61	28.98	14.39	7.35
CIN	4-1	0.538	45.60	71.38	52.28	26.05	12.85	6.16
NE	3-2	0.548	50.23	60.89	40.76	20.62	10.36	5.07
JAC	3-2	0.540	45.49	57.62	37.56	18.58	9.15	4.40
CAR	3-1	0.525	32.70	60.69	39.38	18.50	8.57	4.10
PHI	3-3	0.544	46.69	54.48	33.07	15.96	7.73	3.85
LAC	3-2	0.512	13.23	43.16	25.18	11.72	5.48	2.49
TEN	3-2	0.503	35.42	45.00	26.26	12.01	5.47	2.43
NYJ	2-3	0.537	22.01	30.94	18.05	8.84	4.34	2.08
WAS	2-2	0.491	32.38	42.96	23.97	10.27	4.42	1.96
GB	2-2-1	0.502	13.87	36.26	19.93	8.76	3.90	1.78
PIT	2-2-1	0.517	10.11	26.72	15.84	7.50	3.54	1.63
CLE	2-2-1	0.502	9.43	25.20	14.49	6.63	3.04	1.35
SEA	2-3	0.504	4.53	28.48	14.59	6.32	2.85	1.31
MIA	3-2	0.461	22.89	34.85	18.73	7.77	3.22	1.30
TB	2-2	0.460	11.76	28.42	14.70	5.85	2.35	0.98
MIN	2-2-1	0.466	9.55	25.08	12.71	5.14	2.10	0.88
DAL	2-3	0.466	19.15	25.13	12.47	5.00	2.04	0.86
HOU	2-3	0.482	13.36	19.93	10.41	4.52	1.96	0.83
DET	2-3	0.478	9.58	20.85	10.90	4.56	1.93	0.83
IND	1-4	0.464	5.73	7.79	3.66	1.52	0.63	0.26
DEN	2-3	0.439	2.71	9.03	4.19	1.64	0.65	0.25
ATL	1-4	0.453	2.28	8.08	3.74	1.43	0.57	0.23
SF	1-4	0.451	1.27	6.99	3.16	1.22	0.49	0.20
BUF	2-3	0.384	4.87	6.33	2.55	0.87	0.30	0.10
OAK	1-4	0.427	0.81	2.61	1.16	0.45	0.17	0.06
NYG	1-5	0.414	1.77	2.61	1.06	0.37	0.13	0.05
ARI	1-4	0.394	0.32	2.36	0.88	0.29	0.10	0.04

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City