2018-10-02

Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 4, Final

Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore

Kansas City, now the only undefeated AFC team at 4-0, is making a run at Baltimore for the conference favorite, but can't quite match Baltimore's strength. Interestingly, KC has a better chance of making the playoffs, but is more likely to lose before the Super Bowl.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
LAR4-00.60183.4792.2079.7546.3326.3514.83
BAL3-10.59453.7477.8460.7234.9319.8710.79
CHI3-10.58463.9481.8563.9335.4719.1610.44
JAC3-10.57453.5473.8356.4131.1016.888.84
KC4-00.54274.1483.8765.6533.8917.108.41
WAS2-10.54850.4264.1645.1422.8011.305.76
CIN3-10.52034.4861.1641.2319.959.664.54
NO3-10.52341.9359.1938.9518.548.714.22
CAR2-10.52334.3351.9133.5115.917.463.62
TEN3-10.50534.7054.3134.7116.307.623.47
GB2-1-10.51924.8852.1332.2015.147.103.41
NE2-20.52338.7848.9230.0614.577.033.32
MIA3-10.48242.6555.7834.2715.216.702.90
SEA2-20.50912.5237.7321.409.734.502.12
PHI2-20.50223.7635.5720.569.274.171.94
LAC2-20.48511.0328.5815.907.113.171.38
DAL2-20.47419.8329.1715.576.562.771.21
DEN2-20.47310.4824.4812.995.632.441.03
TB2-20.46014.9726.0113.575.522.250.95
CLE1-2-10.4966.9217.9310.034.612.130.95
NYJ1-30.50013.8418.919.994.572.100.95
ATL1-30.4908.7617.409.244.011.760.80
IND1-30.4886.7513.337.293.301.490.65
PIT1-2-10.4764.8514.237.533.301.460.62
MIN1-2-10.4636.2116.758.473.491.450.61
SF1-30.4693.8114.027.012.911.240.53
HOU1-30.4785.0111.365.972.641.170.50
DET1-30.4644.9610.675.362.220.930.40
OAK1-30.4574.359.644.822.020.850.35
NYG1-30.4526.0010.264.961.980.800.33
BUF1-30.3984.735.862.430.870.310.11
ARI0-40.3890.210.980.370.120.040.02

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore

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