Super Bowl LIII Projection, Week 11, Final

New Orleans over Kansas City

LA beat Kansas City in a crazy game that would have been my projected Super Bowl pairing if not for New Orleans' blowout Sunday, but New Orleans' new extraordinarily high strength is keeping them favored to win the NFC. Curiously enough, 10 wins still doesn't clinch a playoff berth for Los Angeles, but they did cross the 99.999% threshold now, making the playoffs in 99.999855% of the simulations I did.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NO	9-1	0.688	97.05	99.92	95.15	59.11	33.30	19.32
LAR	10-1	0.656	99.99	100.00	95.93	55.48	28.13	15.31
KC	9-2	0.654	91.24	99.80	91.75	52.67	29.56	14.96
CHI	7-3	0.673	89.49	97.32	71.58	38.00	20.85	11.74
PIT	7-2-1	0.627	91.22	96.33	74.04	39.85	20.45	9.76
NE	7-3	0.580	93.61	96.13	68.10	31.98	14.60	6.25
LAC	7-3	0.603	8.75	84.66	47.95	23.02	11.37	5.15
HOU	7-3	0.572	75.52	87.84	55.05	25.03	11.28	4.75
BAL	5-5	0.621	6.68	50.79	28.02	13.95	7.15	3.37
IND	5-5	0.583	16.55	35.48	17.88	8.13	3.82	1.65
SEA	5-5	0.561	0.01	47.27	22.88	8.78	3.65	1.63
WAS	6-4	0.498	64.41	75.72	34.86	11.41	3.96	1.52
CAR	6-4	0.515	2.91	53.41	24.11	8.30	3.07	1.23
MIN	5-4-1	0.524	7.35	44.62	19.81	6.94	2.65	1.08
DAL	5-5	0.531	28.96	38.44	18.53	6.61	2.52	1.05
GB	4-5-1	0.508	2.59	22.81	9.46	3.16	1.17	0.46
TEN	5-5	0.472	7.84	14.72	5.90	2.05	0.74	0.24
ATL	4-6	0.477	0.04	8.45	3.23	1.00	0.34	0.12
CIN	5-5	0.409	2.09	14.22	4.76	1.40	0.43	0.12
MIA	5-5	0.386	6.03	14.35	4.45	1.21	0.34	0.09
PHI	4-6	0.444	6.42	7.43	2.94	0.82	0.25	0.08
DEN	4-6	0.486	0.00	4.02	1.59	0.57	0.22	0.07
DET	4-6	0.421	0.58	3.88	1.29	0.33	0.10	0.03
CLE	3-6-1	0.413	0.02	0.76	0.25	0.07	0.02	0.01
NYJ	3-7	0.408	0.24	0.37	0.12	0.03	0.01	0.00
JAC	3-7	0.400	0.09	0.36	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.00
NYG	3-7	0.407	0.21	0.33	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.00
TB	3-7	0.404	0.00	0.38	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.00
SF	2-8	0.432	-	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
BUF	3-7	0.273	0.12	0.15	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
ARI	2-8	0.290	-	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
OAK	2-8	0.288	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 4, Thursday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Los Angeles Rams (Week 11, Final)

[Week 1] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 2, Thursday] Cincinnati over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 3, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 4, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Baltimore
[Week 5, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 6, Final] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 8, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 9, Final] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 10, Final] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Thursday] Kansas City over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 11, Sunday] New Orleans over Kansas City