I have no data to back this up, but I feel like the NFL hasn't had both #1 seeds play on Saturday in quite a few years. So usually it mangles up the projection after Divisional Saturday. This time, both #1s (and my favorites) played and won, reaffirming my projection for at least another week. That means if both home teams win today, the first two weeks of the playoffs could have just been skipped. Since the current playoff alignment began in 2002, there has been at least 1 upset in every year except for 2002, 2004, and 2015, so usually it's worth playing out the games.
Just a little housekeeping, in case you're wondering how the list below is sorted, with playoff teams seemingly scattered about, teams are sorted by Superbowl chances, followed by strength. Any eliminated playoff teams have the same Superbowl chances as Cleveland - 0% - so they are just sorted by strength now.
Now, for Sunday's rooting:
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh: Tough one! I want my system to be right, and I even picked Jacksonville in the 8th Annual Almost the Easiest Superbowl Contest on the Web, mostly to avoid the crowd that picked New England. But, a good friend of mine is a huge Steelers fan, so I usually root for them these days. I'll root for Pittsburgh.
New Orleans at Minnesota: I'll go for the favorite in this one too and root for the Vikings. Though it'll be a little painful to the the last 2 St. Louis Rams starting QBs facing each other in the NFC title game.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 13-3 | 0.784 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 54.66 | 28.39 |
| NE | 13-3 | 0.780 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 53.67 | 27.61 |
| JAC | 10-6 | 0.786 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 61.99 | 31.55 | 16.50 |
| MIN | 13-3 | 0.773 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 57.16 | 27.66 | 13.92 |
| NO | 11-5 | 0.719 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 42.84 | 17.69 | 7.64 |
| PIT | 13-3 | 0.693 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 38.01 | 14.77 | 5.94 |
| LAR | 11-5 | 0.751 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| LAC | 9-7 | 0.694 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| BAL | 9-7 | 0.686 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| KC | 10-6 | 0.645 | ++ | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| ATL | 10-6 | 0.583 | - | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| CAR | 11-5 | 0.576 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| SEA | 9-7 | 0.571 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 9-7 | 0.563 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DAL | 9-7 | 0.547 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 9-7 | 0.453 | - | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| WAS | 7-9 | 0.408 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 5-11 | 0.404 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 6-10 | 0.394 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| BUF | 9-7 | 0.375 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| GB | 7-9 | 0.369 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 7-9 | 0.367 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 5-11 | 0.362 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 8-8 | 0.355 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| OAK | 6-10 | 0.347 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 5-11 | 0.325 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 4-12 | 0.321 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 5-11 | 0.305 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 6-10 | 0.271 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 4-12 | 0.220 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 3-13 | 0.207 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 0-16 | 0.161 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia and New England (Divisional Saturday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage: Philadelphia (Week 16, Final)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Saturday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 16, Saturday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 16, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 16, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 17, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Wildcard Saturday] Philadelphia over New England
[Wildcard Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
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