Superbowl LII Projection, Week 10, Final

Jacksonville over Philadelphia

Well, I wasn't expecting that to happen. Philadelphia now just barely edges out LA for the NFC. Both teams lost a little ground due to the NFC's Carolina winning over the AFC's Miami on Monday night, strengthening the NFC pool. I suspect that there are more situations where Carolina plays LA than where they play Philadelphia, affecting LA's chances more.

I also ran fewer simulations than usual today due to time constraints, so it's also possible the teams are even closer and more simulations would have pushed LA higher. But for now, this is what we've got to work with.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
JAC	6-3	0.683	79.18	98.62	84.04	52.52	32.24	17.17
LAR	7-2	0.701	77.09	93.29	74.16	43.31	24.73	14.75
PHI	8-1	0.666	94.75	98.45	87.38	47.88	24.81	13.85
NO	7-2	0.673	74.75	93.21	71.15	38.48	20.40	11.55
NE	7-2	0.605	88.78	97.68	80.78	42.52	20.96	9.40
PIT	7-2	0.594	94.31	98.05	77.35	39.21	18.86	8.24
KC	6-3	0.579	91.40	94.66	66.46	31.44	14.71	6.22
MIN	7-2	0.608	73.95	86.81	59.18	26.71	11.96	5.94
SEA	6-3	0.598	22.81	56.15	29.50	12.90	5.74	2.79
CAR	7-3	0.576	21.39	66.39	33.58	13.84	5.80	2.69
TEN	6-3	0.484	20.15	72.74	32.92	12.22	4.62	1.54
BAL	4-5	0.544	5.51	42.37	19.83	8.46	3.67	1.42
DET	5-4	0.562	20.72	38.84	17.77	7.00	2.83	1.27
BUF	5-4	0.474	10.51	49.73	21.42	7.75	2.83	0.92
DAL	5-4	0.553	5.19	21.95	9.54	3.71	1.48	0.65
ATL	5-4	0.540	3.83	20.80	9.09	3.41	1.32	0.57
GB	5-4	0.494	5.25	17.63	6.61	2.18	0.75	0.29
OAK	4-5	0.464	5.21	14.67	5.88	2.05	0.74	0.23
HOU	3-6	0.491	0.66	8.26	3.29	1.26	0.49	0.16
LAC	3-6	0.495	2.46	7.61	3.18	1.20	0.46	0.16
WAS	4-5	0.453	0.06	5.31	1.71	0.51	0.16	0.05
NYJ	4-6	0.454	0.06	3.99	1.48	0.50	0.18	0.05
CIN	3-6	0.419	0.19	2.86	0.95	0.30	0.09	0.03
DEN	3-6	0.361	0.94	3.32	0.97	0.25	0.07	0.02
MIA	4-5	0.325	0.64	4.91	1.31	0.30	0.07	0.01
TB	3-6	0.425	0.04	0.59	0.17	0.05	0.01	0.00
IND	3-7	0.319	0.01	0.55	0.13	0.03	0.01	0.00
ARI	4-5	0.361	0.10	0.39	0.10	0.02	0.01	0.00
CHI	3-6	0.398	0.09	0.20	0.06	0.01	0.00	0.00
CLE	0-9	0.318	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	1-9	0.333	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	1-8	0.333	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville