Superbowl LII Projection, Week 11, Sunday

Jacksonville over Philadelphia

A loss by LA and a big win by Philadelphia has vaulted them to the top of the NFC. Jacksonville remains the AFC favorite. After Pittsburgh did it Thursday, 3 more teams crossed the 99% playoff probability mark, and Philadelphia added another 9, up over 99.9%.

I give Cleveland a 13% chance of going winless now that they are 0-10. But, they are actually not completely out of the playoffs yet. I may try to work up the exact scenario for tomorrow, since it will likely take a whole lot of games going the right way to set up the right tiebreakers, although no tie games are required since this simulation did not include ties.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
JAC	7-3	0.711	91.31	99.60	87.54	54.13	32.75	17.97
PHI	9-1	0.706	99.70	99.91	93.76	54.79	30.79	17.32
NE	8-2	0.648	98.11	99.72	89.66	49.18	24.44	11.66
NO	8-2	0.677	78.70	96.65	71.84	37.89	19.38	10.26
PIT	8-2	0.638	95.10	99.74	83.63	43.24	21.18	9.87
LAR	7-3	0.694	67.79	87.39	58.69	31.33	16.84	9.23
MIN	8-2	0.644	85.59	96.63	77.17	37.66	17.57	8.68
KC	6-4	0.579	85.48	91.30	54.68	22.72	9.64	3.92
BAL	5-5	0.598	4.83	68.21	33.95	14.78	6.65	2.83
SEA	6-3	0.598	32.16	60.21	29.47	12.29	5.24	2.34
CAR	7-3	0.576	18.24	70.48	33.53	13.26	5.33	2.26
DET	6-4	0.567	13.75	48.79	21.06	8.02	3.18	1.32
LAC	4-6	0.562	10.75	24.69	11.56	4.59	1.88	0.73
TEN	6-4	0.440	8.03	56.47	19.24	5.62	1.69	0.48
ATL	5-4	0.540	3.00	21.05	8.55	3.03	1.13	0.44
HOU	4-6	0.509	0.66	13.63	5.27	1.87	0.68	0.23
BUF	5-5	0.417	1.78	25.72	8.10	2.18	0.62	0.16
DAL	5-5	0.500	0.30	8.05	2.72	0.87	0.29	0.10
GB	5-5	0.445	0.66	6.59	1.97	0.53	0.15	0.05
NYJ	4-6	0.454	0.03	4.74	1.59	0.48	0.15	0.04
OAK	4-6	0.414	3.11	6.61	2.20	0.59	0.16	0.04
CIN	4-6	0.426	0.06	4.66	1.44	0.40	0.12	0.03
WAS	4-6	0.449	0.00	2.53	0.74	0.20	0.06	0.02
TB	4-6	0.447	0.06	1.54	0.45	0.12	0.04	0.01
DEN	3-7	0.352	0.66	1.59	0.44	0.10	0.02	0.00
MIA	4-6	0.308	0.08	2.68	0.57	0.11	0.02	0.00
IND	3-7	0.319	0.01	0.65	0.14	0.03	0.01	0.00
ARI	4-6	0.345	0.05	0.16	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
CHI	3-7	0.394	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	1-9	0.333	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	2-8	0.327	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-
CLE	0-10	0.291	-	0.00	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville