Thursday's game was pretty low-leverage this week, affecting no one other than the teams involved more than a fraction of a percent. New Orleans lost, dropping their playoff chances from 98% to just under 96%, while Atlanta's win bumped them from 34% up to 55%. Carolina took the brunt of the damage from that, falling from 68% to 60%, although their division odds almost doubled from 5.55% to 10.98%. I'm not sure I've ever seen that happen to any team as a result of a single game before.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 10-2 | 0.742 | 99.95 | 99.98 | 92.14 | 53.52 | 31.01 | 17.47 |
| NE | 10-2 | 0.714 | 99.93 | 99.99 | 97.03 | 56.83 | 31.33 | 16.08 |
| JAC | 8-4 | 0.742 | 75.57 | 99.67 | 78.34 | 46.70 | 27.88 | 15.30 |
| LAR | 9-3 | 0.731 | 74.55 | 97.91 | 71.87 | 38.80 | 21.63 | 11.90 |
| MIN | 10-2 | 0.672 | 99.84 | 99.96 | 95.29 | 48.46 | 21.69 | 10.42 |
| PIT | 10-2 | 0.646 | 97.08 | 99.99 | 91.15 | 44.82 | 19.89 | 8.68 |
| NO | 9-4 | 0.690 | 72.88 | 95.74 | 57.27 | 27.49 | 13.34 | 6.67 |
| BAL | 7-5 | 0.657 | 2.92 | 90.01 | 49.70 | 22.98 | 10.76 | 4.83 |
| SEA | 8-4 | 0.641 | 25.45 | 71.41 | 33.33 | 14.27 | 6.18 | 2.77 |
| LAC | 6-6 | 0.632 | 39.13 | 41.95 | 22.05 | 9.60 | 4.17 | 1.76 |
| CAR | 8-4 | 0.567 | 10.98 | 60.48 | 23.18 | 8.22 | 2.92 | 1.09 |
| KC | 6-6 | 0.555 | 49.60 | 53.74 | 24.20 | 8.70 | 3.11 | 1.08 |
| ATL | 8-5 | 0.571 | 16.14 | 55.35 | 21.25 | 7.59 | 2.73 | 1.03 |
| TEN | 8-4 | 0.468 | 24.43 | 85.85 | 29.24 | 8.36 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| DET | 6-6 | 0.511 | 0.08 | 9.68 | 3.00 | 0.92 | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| OAK | 6-6 | 0.439 | 11.27 | 12.56 | 4.27 | 1.11 | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| DAL | 6-6 | 0.504 | 0.05 | 4.18 | 1.26 | 0.39 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| BUF | 6-6 | 0.382 | 0.07 | 13.92 | 3.41 | 0.74 | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| GB | 6-6 | 0.453 | 0.08 | 5.18 | 1.36 | 0.34 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| NYJ | 5-7 | 0.456 | - | 1.04 | 0.32 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| CIN | 5-7 | 0.454 | - | 0.56 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| MIA | 5-7 | 0.319 | - | 0.70 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| WAS | 5-7 | 0.421 | - | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| HOU | 4-8 | 0.476 | - | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ARI | 5-7 | 0.322 | - | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| TB | 4-8 | 0.408 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CHI | 3-9 | 0.328 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 2-10 | 0.305 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 3-9 | 0.291 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-10 | 0.288 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 3-9 | 0.272 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| CLE | 0-12 | 0.245 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
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