With 2.1 billion simulations I managed to fill out the grid with each non-eliminated team succeeding at least once. 13 teams are eliminated from their divisions, with Cincinnati joining the 12 that were eliminated before Monday's game. Pittsburgh joined the top teams at 10-2, but is the weakest of those teams. The big game for AFC seeding purposes seems to be shaping up to be Pittsburgh vs New England in week 15.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 10-2 | 0.742 | 99.95 | 99.99 | 90.28 | 52.42 | 30.26 | 17.05 |
| NE | 10-2 | 0.714 | 99.93 | 99.99 | 97.03 | 56.83 | 31.33 | 16.08 |
| JAC | 8-4 | 0.742 | 75.58 | 99.67 | 78.34 | 46.69 | 27.88 | 15.30 |
| LAR | 9-3 | 0.731 | 74.55 | 98.45 | 71.55 | 38.68 | 21.49 | 11.82 |
| MIN | 10-2 | 0.672 | 99.84 | 99.96 | 93.64 | 47.27 | 21.21 | 10.18 |
| PIT | 10-2 | 0.646 | 97.08 | 99.99 | 91.15 | 44.82 | 19.89 | 8.68 |
| NO | 9-3 | 0.689 | 88.68 | 98.44 | 65.63 | 31.59 | 15.32 | 7.65 |
| BAL | 7-5 | 0.657 | 2.92 | 90.04 | 49.72 | 22.99 | 10.76 | 4.83 |
| SEA | 8-4 | 0.641 | 25.45 | 75.73 | 34.00 | 14.58 | 6.34 | 2.84 |
| LAC | 6-6 | 0.632 | 39.14 | 41.97 | 22.06 | 9.60 | 4.17 | 1.76 |
| CAR | 8-4 | 0.567 | 5.55 | 68.07 | 25.05 | 8.91 | 3.18 | 1.19 |
| KC | 6-6 | 0.556 | 49.60 | 53.75 | 24.20 | 8.70 | 3.11 | 1.08 |
| TEN | 8-4 | 0.468 | 24.42 | 85.88 | 29.24 | 8.36 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| ATL | 7-5 | 0.564 | 5.76 | 34.14 | 12.55 | 4.40 | 1.56 | 0.58 |
| DET | 6-6 | 0.511 | 0.08 | 12.33 | 3.76 | 1.15 | 0.36 | 0.12 |
| OAK | 6-6 | 0.439 | 11.27 | 12.56 | 4.27 | 1.11 | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| DAL | 6-6 | 0.504 | 0.05 | 5.59 | 1.65 | 0.51 | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| BUF | 6-6 | 0.382 | 0.07 | 13.84 | 3.39 | 0.74 | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| GB | 6-6 | 0.453 | 0.08 | 6.97 | 1.81 | 0.46 | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| NYJ | 5-7 | 0.456 | - | 1.04 | 0.32 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| CIN | 5-7 | 0.454 | - | 0.56 | 0.16 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| WAS | 5-7 | 0.421 | - | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| MIA | 5-7 | 0.319 | - | 0.70 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| HOU | 4-8 | 0.476 | - | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ARI | 5-7 | 0.322 | - | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| TB | 4-8 | 0.408 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| DEN | 3-9 | 0.291 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| IND | 3-9 | 0.272 | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CHI | 3-9 | 0.328 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 2-10 | 0.305 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-10 | 0.288 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 0-12 | 0.245 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
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