2017-11-07

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 9, Final

Philadelphia over Jacksonville

As it turns out, quarterbacks are important. Detroit beat Green Bay handily on Monday, 30-17, but with Green Bay's last 7 points coming as time expired. Green Bay's playoff chances were cut to less than half of the 31% they had before yesterday's game, while Detroit nearly doubled from 17.7% to 33.4%. Also, San Francisco is still not mathematically eliminated, just still so unlikely that they don't show up even once in the playoffs in over a billion runs.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PHI8-10.66688.9098.6189.4252.1029.0716.68
JAC5-30.67177.8194.2778.9549.0030.0616.44
LAR6-20.66472.5389.1568.9139.0521.4112.22
PIT6-20.58691.5795.6475.6338.8119.018.69
NO6-20.62072.0688.0963.5031.9015.698.24
KC6-30.57988.0592.1966.6432.8915.947.17
MIN6-20.59975.6485.0560.1128.5313.286.68
NE6-20.56365.4789.7965.4731.4814.566.32
BUF5-30.55631.9471.7343.2020.109.223.94
SEA5-30.58526.5451.6328.7113.015.962.91
DAL5-30.58510.9050.9427.4512.245.642.75
CAR6-30.52323.6555.7127.4910.624.171.78
BAL4-50.5447.4835.3817.497.803.511.45
TEN5-30.47618.6950.3523.699.093.511.24
DET4-40.53818.6833.3815.686.242.551.12
HOU3-50.5353.4414.386.813.021.350.55
ATL4-40.4964.2014.406.282.230.830.33
LAC3-50.5023.8410.194.591.880.770.29
GB4-40.4804.8314.745.882.000.710.28
OAK4-50.4645.5012.855.381.980.740.25
WAS4-40.4660.1913.765.171.680.580.22
NYJ4-50.4670.589.924.031.490.560.19
CIN3-50.4270.946.692.420.800.270.08
DEN3-50.4032.607.882.810.880.280.08
MIA4-40.3582.018.082.700.740.210.05
CHI3-50.4140.851.690.560.160.050.02
ARI4-40.3760.942.330.700.180.050.01
TB2-60.4190.090.520.170.050.010.00
IND3-60.3300.060.660.180.050.010.00
NYG1-70.3490.000.000.000.000.000.00
CLE0-80.3360.000.000.000.000.000.00
SF0-90.320------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville

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