Jacksonville had been the AFC favorite since the end of week 14, but New England took over, partly due to Jacksonville's surprising loss to San Francisco. I gave Jacksonville about a 90% chance of winning, which is just about as high as those projections ever go. New England won and clinched a first round bye, along with a 89% chance of homefield advantage. Jacksonville did still clinch the AFC South, because of Tennessee's loss.
Atlanta was eliminated from the NFC South, but unfortunately the week 17 divisional matchups ddn't pair New Orleans and Carolina for a winner-take-all. Both are in the playoffs either way with 11 wins already. LA and KC clinched the NFC and AFC West, and Oakland, Miami, and Dallas were all eliminated. That makes Monday's games both between a division winner and an eliminated team, but Pittsburgh can push for a first round bye, and Philadelphia is still trying to clinch homefield advantage.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 12-2 | 0.755 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 60.80 | 30.92 | 16.67 |
| NE | 12-3 | 0.745 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 59.65 | 32.30 | 16.17 |
| JAC | 10-5 | 0.784 | ++ | ++ | 72.55 | 48.18 | 28.73 | 15.94 |
| MIN | 12-3 | 0.746 | ++ | ++ | 99.14 | 49.52 | 25.96 | 13.69 |
| LAR | 11-4 | 0.775 | ++ | ++ | 72.58 | 39.23 | 21.91 | 12.41 |
| NO | 11-4 | 0.730 | 89.63 | ++ | 64.13 | 30.23 | 14.45 | 7.32 |
| PIT | 11-3 | 0.633 | ++ | ++ | 98.92 | 37.28 | 15.08 | 5.64 |
| BAL | 9-6 | 0.697 | - | 97.95 | 53.35 | 25.54 | 11.92 | 5.26 |
| KC | 9-6 | 0.640 | ++ | ++ | 47.52 | 19.96 | 7.93 | 3.02 |
| CAR | 11-4 | 0.600 | 10.37 | ++ | 35.73 | 11.78 | 4.01 | 1.47 |
| LAC | 8-7 | 0.652 | - | 53.04 | 18.29 | 7.40 | 3.56 | 1.40 |
| ATL | 9-6 | 0.556 | - | 60.96 | 16.75 | 4.85 | 1.55 | 0.51 |
| SEA | 9-6 | 0.576 | - | 39.04 | 11.66 | 3.58 | 1.20 | 0.41 |
| TEN | 8-7 | 0.444 | - | 27.10 | 5.37 | 1.23 | 0.34 | 0.07 |
| BUF | 8-7 | 0.363 | - | 21.91 | 4.01 | 0.75 | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| DAL | 8-7 | 0.533 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 8-7 | 0.519 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 7-8 | 0.425 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| GB | 7-8 | 0.416 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| OAK | 6-8 | 0.409 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 5-10 | 0.393 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 4-10 | 0.389 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 4-11 | 0.389 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 5-10 | 0.366 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 6-9 | 0.354 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 5-10 | 0.353 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 7-8 | 0.349 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 5-10 | 0.309 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 6-9 | 0.284 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 3-12 | 0.212 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-13 | 0.203 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 0-15 | 0.168 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (Week 14, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Saturday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 15, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 16, Saturday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
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