2017-12-01

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 13, Thursday

Philadelphia over New England

Dallas beat Washington to stay alive in the NFC East, and keep Philadelphia from clinching until at least Sunday night. New York is obviously already eliminated with 9 losses, and Washington was already out, but very clearly is now with 7 losses. Everyone else stays pretty much where they were, including Chicago who is unlikely enough to make the playoffs that there weren't enough simulations to find one where they make it to the Superbowl.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PHI10-10.74799.9899.9996.9660.5836.4822.10
NE9-20.67697.9299.8595.1554.6729.2314.03
JAC7-40.70778.4798.1277.8245.3326.5913.72
LAR8-30.70781.4495.1865.8334.9318.2410.16
PIT9-20.64094.5999.7790.1546.8822.519.91
MIN9-20.65697.6499.2785.7842.3818.659.32
NO8-30.67367.0393.8358.3627.7713.226.85
BAL6-50.6145.3675.8540.3518.008.223.40
CAR8-30.59025.1480.5838.5714.725.712.46
KC6-50.57168.0774.8938.4015.466.322.35
LAC5-60.61025.7137.1219.378.543.851.58
SEA7-40.61218.4344.8320.248.053.381.53
ATL7-40.5717.8349.6621.087.392.811.16
DET6-50.5542.2127.4510.433.441.280.51
TEN7-40.44621.0561.3221.186.211.860.49
BUF6-50.4252.0835.7311.623.180.900.22
DAL6-60.5040.025.201.680.500.160.06
OAK5-60.4256.207.982.780.760.210.05
CIN5-60.4610.055.441.890.560.180.05
HOU4-70.4960.482.570.950.320.110.03
GB5-60.4410.153.030.840.190.050.02
NYJ4-70.4400.000.780.240.070.020.01
WAS5-70.421-0.250.060.010.000.00
TB4-70.4190.000.250.060.010.000.00
ARI5-60.3500.130.490.110.020.000.00
MIA4-70.2810.000.520.090.020.000.00
DEN3-80.3350.020.050.010.000.000.00
IND3-80.3060.000.030.010.000.000.00
CHI3-80.335-0.000.000.00--
SF1-100.311------
NYG2-90.303------
CLE0-110.267------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England


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