2017-11-13

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville

With no game for Philadelphia this week, LA caught them in the NFC projection, so here we are, back to the same matchup projected as Week 1. It seems odd that Jacksonville's odds are so high when they are 6-3, but in the AFC there just aren't many strong teams, even the two that are 7-2. Also, I should point out that while Jacksonville has the highest chance of winning the Superbowl, which is how this table is sorted, they are weaker than LA, so that's why the projection has the Rams winning. Jacksonville joined Philadelphia up over 98% likely to make the playoffs, but neither has quite crossed 99% yet.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
JAC6-30.68379.1698.5784.2352.7232.3717.23
LAR7-20.70077.0993.8375.0043.9525.1414.99
PHI8-10.66694.7598.6287.6048.3325.0613.99
NO7-20.67381.7594.3973.5639.9721.2212.01
NE7-20.60587.9597.1780.1042.1520.799.32
PIT7-20.59494.3098.0177.6339.4518.978.29
KC6-30.57991.1494.3766.2831.3814.696.21
MIN7-20.60874.6188.3261.5327.8512.486.20
SEA6-30.59822.8157.9630.6013.385.962.90
TEN6-30.48420.1771.8932.7912.184.611.54
BAL4-50.5445.5142.0319.748.423.661.42
DET5-40.56219.9841.0518.947.463.021.36
CAR6-30.52313.3250.8322.107.962.931.21
BUF5-40.47410.3047.0120.347.362.690.87
DAL5-40.5535.1923.5510.243.981.590.70
ATL5-40.5404.8823.9510.523.951.530.66
GB5-40.4945.3420.237.612.510.860.33
OAK4-50.4645.3814.715.942.070.740.24
HOU3-60.4910.668.003.201.220.470.16
LAC3-60.4952.557.353.091.160.450.15
WAS4-50.4530.065.841.890.560.170.06
NYJ4-60.4540.074.051.510.510.180.06
MIA4-40.3581.6710.423.190.820.220.05
CIN3-60.4190.192.740.920.280.090.03
DEN3-60.3610.933.170.940.240.070.02
TB3-60.4250.060.750.220.060.020.01
ARI4-50.3620.100.450.120.030.010.00
IND3-70.3190.010.530.130.030.010.00
CHI3-60.3980.080.230.070.020.000.00
CLE0-90.3190.000.000.000.000.000.00
SF1-90.333------
NYG1-80.3330.000.000.000.00--

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville

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