Superbowl LII Projection, Week 10, Thursday

Philadelphia over Jacksonville

I showed Seattle as a 70% favorite in the Thursday night game, and they won, but by less than a touchdown. I'm not sure if that's a good projection or not, but I do know I scored more points than FiveThirtyEight in their NFL preditions game, where they only favored Seattle by 56%. In other NFC West news, I've given up trying to run enough simulations get San Francisco to make the playoffs even once. It's not going to happen, although it's still not yet impossible.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
PHI	8-1	0.666	88.89	98.44	88.94	51.55	28.73	16.47
JAC	5-3	0.671	77.61	94.23	78.88	48.96	30.03	16.42
LAR	6-2	0.664	66.56	88.13	67.36	38.03	20.82	11.89
PIT	6-2	0.586	91.57	95.63	75.63	38.81	19.01	8.67
NO	6-2	0.620	72.08	87.52	62.82	31.49	15.46	8.12
KC	6-3	0.579	88.05	92.18	66.63	32.88	15.94	7.17
MIN	6-2	0.599	75.65	84.62	59.37	28.11	13.06	6.57
NE	6-2	0.563	65.46	89.77	65.45	31.47	14.56	6.31
SEA	6-3	0.598	33.27	62.33	36.24	16.98	7.99	4.02
BUF	5-3	0.556	31.95	71.68	43.18	20.10	9.22	3.94
DAL	5-3	0.585	10.90	48.91	26.32	11.75	5.39	2.63
CAR	6-3	0.523	23.67	54.16	26.56	10.26	4.02	1.72
BAL	4-5	0.543	7.48	35.29	17.45	7.79	3.50	1.45
TEN	5-3	0.476	18.87	50.63	23.84	9.15	3.54	1.25
DET	4-4	0.537	18.67	32.28	15.05	5.98	2.44	1.08
HOU	3-5	0.535	3.47	14.46	6.86	3.04	1.36	0.55
ATL	4-4	0.496	4.16	13.55	5.89	2.10	0.78	0.31
LAC	3-5	0.502	3.84	10.17	4.58	1.88	0.77	0.29
GB	4-4	0.480	4.83	14.16	5.62	1.92	0.68	0.26
OAK	4-5	0.464	5.51	12.82	5.37	1.98	0.74	0.25
WAS	4-4	0.466	0.20	13.25	4.98	1.62	0.56	0.21
NYJ	4-5	0.467	0.58	9.90	4.02	1.48	0.56	0.19
CIN	3-5	0.427	0.94	6.67	2.41	0.80	0.27	0.08
DEN	3-5	0.403	2.61	7.86	2.81	0.88	0.28	0.08
MIA	4-4	0.358	2.02	8.06	2.70	0.74	0.21	0.05
CHI	3-5	0.414	0.86	1.61	0.53	0.15	0.04	0.01
TB	2-6	0.419	0.09	0.48	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00
ARI	4-5	0.362	0.18	0.57	0.16	0.04	0.01	0.00
IND	3-6	0.330	0.06	0.66	0.18	0.05	0.01	0.00
NYG	1-7	0.349	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
CLE	0-8	0.336	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	0-9	0.320	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville