New England took a surprising loss to Miami, and Jacksonville is back in the favorite spot for the AFC. My Pittsburgh-fan friend surmised that they would now be able to clinch homefield advantage if they beat New England next week, since at best New England could tie them at 12-4 but then lose in the head-to-head tiebreaker, so I checked it out. The hitch in his plan is Jacksonville, who could also still get to 12-4, and beat Pittsburgh this year. In the event all 3 teams finished tied, the head-to-head sweep would not apply, but Jacksonville would be one finish with an AFC record of 10-2 vs 9-3 for the other two.
Houston is officially eliminated with that Miami win, since at least one of Buffalo or Miami will have to finish with under 9 losses, along with New England in the AFC East, and in the AFC South Jacksonville and Tennessee will also have less than 9 losses. That means at least 3 teams that don't win their division will be ahead of Houston in the wildcard race, eliminating them.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 11-2 | 0.748 | ++ | ++ | 99.85 | 62.72 | 37.26 | 21.18 |
| JAC | 9-4 | 0.751 | 92.01 | 99.96 | 85.40 | 51.88 | 32.15 | 18.11 |
| NE | 10-3 | 0.707 | 99.38 | 99.95 | 88.49 | 48.17 | 26.17 | 13.29 |
| LAR | 9-4 | 0.717 | 73.86 | 93.04 | 61.38 | 33.33 | 17.40 | 9.21 |
| MIN | 10-3 | 0.656 | 99.24 | 99.88 | 91.02 | 43.60 | 18.98 | 8.74 |
| PIT | 11-2 | 0.640 | ++ | ++ | 94.96 | 46.78 | 19.99 | 8.67 |
| NO | 9-4 | 0.690 | 66.06 | 94.77 | 57.56 | 28.03 | 13.77 | 6.84 |
| BAL | 7-6 | 0.648 | - | 79.90 | 40.17 | 18.59 | 8.33 | 3.68 |
| LAC | 7-6 | 0.667 | 44.30 | 51.86 | 29.84 | 14.32 | 6.67 | 3.08 |
| CAR | 9-4 | 0.580 | 19.67 | 79.17 | 35.22 | 12.66 | 4.76 | 1.82 |
| KC | 7-6 | 0.577 | 55.02 | 68.49 | 33.16 | 12.81 | 4.76 | 1.77 |
| SEA | 8-5 | 0.628 | 26.14 | 48.97 | 22.92 | 9.28 | 4.01 | 1.73 |
| ATL | 8-5 | 0.571 | 14.28 | 58.64 | 23.60 | 8.08 | 3.03 | 1.13 |
| TEN | 8-5 | 0.456 | 7.99 | 64.11 | 19.75 | 5.56 | 1.51 | 0.40 |
| DET | 7-6 | 0.516 | 0.42 | 15.10 | 5.07 | 1.39 | 0.48 | 0.16 |
| BUF | 7-6 | 0.389 | 0.62 | 28.08 | 6.69 | 1.56 | 0.35 | 0.08 |
| DAL | 7-6 | 0.543 | - | 4.84 | 1.73 | 0.52 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| GB | 7-6 | 0.465 | 0.34 | 5.58 | 1.64 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| OAK | 6-7 | 0.416 | 0.68 | 1.68 | 0.49 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| MIA | 6-7 | 0.331 | - | 5.86 | 1.03 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| NYJ | 5-8 | 0.408 | - | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CIN | 5-8 | 0.393 | - | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ARI | 6-7 | 0.322 | - | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| HOU | 4-9 | 0.457 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 4-9 | 0.401 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 5-8 | 0.390 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 4-9 | 0.382 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 4-9 | 0.321 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 3-10 | 0.321 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-11 | 0.252 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 3-10 | 0.251 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 0-13 | 0.233 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (Week 14, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
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