2017-12-04

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 13, Sunday

Philadelphia over New England

Philadelphia lost on Sunday night, so as of now no one has clinched a division or wildcard spot yet. A total of 12 teams have been eliminated from their division, but only 4 are completely out of the playoffs. Denver is the one team still mathematically alive that never made it during any of my simulations this week.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PHI10-20.74299.9599.9990.2852.4330.2617.05
NE10-20.71499.9399.9997.2857.6231.6616.25
JAC8-40.74275.5899.6580.5948.8529.1115.98
LAR9-30.73174.5598.4671.5738.7021.5011.82
MIN10-20.67299.8499.9693.5947.2421.1910.17
PIT9-20.63990.4399.7986.1441.2318.077.76
NO9-30.68988.6998.4565.6431.5915.327.65
BAL7-50.6579.5488.5250.0823.0910.844.87
SEA8-40.64125.4575.7634.0214.596.352.84
LAC6-60.63239.1441.7822.039.564.171.76
CAR8-40.5675.5568.0925.068.923.181.19
KC6-60.55649.6053.6324.248.693.121.09
TEN8-40.46824.4285.8230.518.732.460.67
ATL7-50.5645.7634.1612.564.411.560.58
DET6-60.5110.0812.233.731.140.350.11
OAK6-60.43911.2612.444.261.110.290.07
DAL6-60.5040.055.591.650.510.150.05
BUF6-60.3820.0713.403.350.720.160.03
GB6-60.4530.086.991.810.460.120.03
CIN5-60.4610.023.241.080.290.090.02
NYJ5-70.456-1.010.310.090.020.01
WAS5-70.421-0.280.060.020.000.00
MIA5-70.319-0.720.130.020.000.00
HOU4-80.476-0.020.010.000.000.00
ARI5-70.322-0.050.010.000.000.00
TB4-80.408-0.000.000.000.000.00
CHI3-90.328------
SF2-100.305------
DEN3-90.291------
NYG2-100.288------
IND3-90.272-0.000.000.000.00-
CLE0-120.245------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England

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