Usually on a single-game day like Thursday or Monday, when I say that the game had little effect, it means the projection didn't change. In this case, the game between two eliminated teams, Denver and Indianapolis, changed hardly anything. The biggest effect was that Kansas City's division chances dropped by less than 0.5%, while LA gained most of that drop and Oakland got about .03%. At first I figured that must represent the rare cases where Denver finishes 7-9 along with Kansas City and LA, changing the tiebreaker to a 3-team version and negatively impacting Kansas City. But, Kansas City plays LA this week, which will give at least one more than Denver's best-possible record of 7 wins. Instead, it just reflects that Denver's win makes them a bit stronger, so their week 17 game against Kansas City is slightly more likely to be a win.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 11-2 | 0.748 | ++ | ++ | 99.85 | 62.73 | 37.26 | 21.18 |
| JAC | 9-4 | 0.751 | 92.01 | 99.96 | 85.41 | 51.87 | 32.14 | 18.10 |
| NE | 10-3 | 0.707 | 99.38 | 99.95 | 88.51 | 48.16 | 26.16 | 13.29 |
| LAR | 9-4 | 0.717 | 73.86 | 93.04 | 61.38 | 33.32 | 17.40 | 9.21 |
| MIN | 10-3 | 0.656 | 99.24 | 99.88 | 91.02 | 43.60 | 18.98 | 8.74 |
| PIT | 11-2 | 0.640 | ++ | ++ | 94.97 | 46.76 | 19.98 | 8.66 |
| NO | 9-4 | 0.690 | 66.05 | 94.77 | 57.56 | 28.04 | 13.77 | 6.84 |
| BAL | 7-6 | 0.648 | - | 80.70 | 40.57 | 18.78 | 8.42 | 3.71 |
| LAC | 7-6 | 0.667 | 44.71 | 52.10 | 29.95 | 14.37 | 6.69 | 3.09 |
| CAR | 9-4 | 0.580 | 19.67 | 79.17 | 35.23 | 12.66 | 4.76 | 1.82 |
| KC | 7-6 | 0.577 | 54.58 | 67.67 | 32.71 | 12.64 | 4.70 | 1.74 |
| SEA | 8-5 | 0.628 | 26.14 | 48.96 | 22.92 | 9.27 | 4.01 | 1.72 |
| ATL | 8-5 | 0.571 | 14.28 | 58.64 | 23.60 | 8.09 | 3.03 | 1.13 |
| TEN | 8-5 | 0.456 | 7.99 | 63.90 | 19.66 | 5.54 | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| DET | 7-6 | 0.516 | 0.42 | 15.10 | 5.07 | 1.39 | 0.48 | 0.16 |
| BUF | 7-6 | 0.389 | 0.62 | 28.06 | 6.67 | 1.55 | 0.35 | 0.07 |
| DAL | 7-6 | 0.543 | - | 4.84 | 1.73 | 0.52 | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| GB | 7-6 | 0.465 | 0.34 | 5.58 | 1.64 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| OAK | 6-7 | 0.416 | 0.71 | 1.69 | 0.50 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| MIA | 6-7 | 0.331 | - | 5.87 | 1.03 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| NYJ | 5-8 | 0.408 | - | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| CIN | 5-8 | 0.393 | - | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| ARI | 6-7 | 0.322 | - | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| HOU | 4-9 | 0.457 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 4-9 | 0.401 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 5-8 | 0.390 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 4-9 | 0.382 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 5-9 | 0.342 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 3-10 | 0.321 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-11 | 0.252 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 0-13 | 0.233 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 3-11 | 0.228 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 11, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (Week 14, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from playoff contention: San Francisco, Cleveland, New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 5, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Thursday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 6, Final] Kansas City over Philadelphia
[Week 7, Thursday] Philadelphia over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 7, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 8, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 8, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Sunday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 9, Final] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Thursday] Philadelphia over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Sunday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 10, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Thursday] Los Angeles Rams over Jacksonville
[Week 11, Sunday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 11, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Thursday] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
[Week 12, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 12, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 13, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 14, Final] Jacksonville over Philadelphia
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