Superbowl LII Projection, Week 3, Final

Kansas City over Atlanta

Dallas beat Arizona by a reasonable score, so, as expected, nothing changed at the top. I couldn't quite put my finger on why that one game made Atlanta fall just behind Jacksonville in title chances, but the answer is the fairly obvious one. Jacksonville still has to play Arizona, so their expected wins just went up a bit. Also, Atlanta will play Dallas, so their average record went down a little. Cascade those chances out and they affect playoff seeding (or lack thereof), and give Jacksonville the bump they needed to pass Atlanta.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	3-0	0.558	52.13	76.11	59.27	31.78	16.93	9.11
JAC	2-1	0.563	47.04	67.54	49.83	26.94	14.44	7.85
ATL	3-0	0.536	51.77	72.93	56.43	29.47	15.30	7.71
LAR	2-1	0.545	61.65	67.55	46.98	24.85	13.11	6.73
BUF	2-1	0.539	48.29	62.23	43.90	22.45	11.39	5.91
PIT	2-1	0.533	52.73	62.37	41.88	21.09	10.55	5.41
DET	2-1	0.539	36.62	54.79	38.59	20.16	10.50	5.32
TEN	2-1	0.529	39.97	56.75	38.71	19.39	9.66	4.92
OAK	2-1	0.533	22.21	50.83	33.81	17.01	8.58	4.40
PHI	2-1	0.517	36.91	53.57	36.41	18.16	9.02	4.37
DEN	2-1	0.533	24.74	50.47	33.44	16.81	8.47	4.34
WAS	2-1	0.523	32.76	51.01	34.78	17.54	8.82	4.33
MIN	2-1	0.520	31.25	50.04	34.16	17.16	8.61	4.20
CAR	2-1	0.516	21.56	42.83	28.08	13.96	6.94	3.36
DAL	2-1	0.504	28.70	45.26	29.68	14.40	6.97	3.29
NE	2-1	0.506	30.58	43.94	27.54	13.06	6.17	2.99
BAL	2-1	0.492	39.54	49.95	29.80	13.69	6.27	2.96
GB	2-1	0.500	24.31	40.26	25.73	12.36	5.93	2.77
TB	1-1	0.511	17.53	34.22	21.76	10.68	5.25	2.51
SEA	1-2	0.472	18.65	24.45	13.48	6.10	2.76	1.22
NO	1-2	0.491	9.15	20.24	11.85	5.58	2.64	1.21
MIA	1-1	0.467	12.96	21.89	12.23	5.32	2.31	1.04
ARI	1-2	0.460	15.11	19.07	9.90	4.36	1.92	0.82
HOU	1-2	0.457	6.77	14.01	7.41	3.16	1.35	0.59
NYJ	1-2	0.458	8.16	14.25	7.39	3.15	1.35	0.59
CHI	1-2	0.452	7.82	13.82	7.37	3.18	1.37	0.58
IND	1-2	0.439	6.22	13.20	6.88	2.82	1.15	0.48
CLE	0-3	0.460	4.24	7.04	3.44	1.47	0.63	0.28
SF	0-3	0.450	4.58	6.69	3.25	1.40	0.60	0.25
CIN	0-3	0.434	3.49	5.35	2.48	1.00	0.40	0.17
LAC	0-3	0.457	0.92	4.06	1.98	0.85	0.36	0.16
NYG	0-3	0.431	1.63	3.27	1.55	0.64	0.26	0.11

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta