2017-10-10

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 5, Final

Kansas City over Philadelphia

The Minnesota vs Chicago game last night didn't change anything at the top, being a division game between two teams that were in 3rd and 4th place. But, Minnesota brought their playoff chances up to 41% from 31%, and Chicago fell from 3.73% to 1.36%.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC5-00.58170.1392.5179.2344.1024.0012.98
JAC3-20.60068.5778.6761.2135.2419.7911.09
PHI4-10.57074.7282.9864.4734.6318.549.65
GB4-10.54548.8169.6950.7525.7713.026.46
DEN3-10.54926.1866.0544.2422.2011.235.70
SEA3-20.55251.7561.4440.3820.7210.635.35
BUF3-20.54246.7961.3842.1420.9610.295.15
CAR4-10.52537.9661.8642.6520.709.974.74
LAR3-20.55141.6455.2835.7918.319.374.70
DET3-20.55331.8553.1935.1618.079.284.67
ATL3-10.52832.5456.1638.3118.719.064.34
PIT3-20.52448.3458.1236.3217.308.183.95
NE3-20.51030.6846.8029.4313.576.212.91
MIN3-20.51418.8241.0825.0711.855.612.61
NO2-20.53216.8233.0020.4410.034.912.37
BAL3-20.48333.5047.7827.0511.695.042.22
HOU2-30.52318.3731.1118.138.724.152.00
WAS2-20.50415.1331.8718.338.463.921.79
TB2-20.50412.6826.7515.757.293.361.53
CIN2-30.50317.8327.4915.547.043.191.47
NYJ3-20.46815.7930.5617.097.162.991.28
OAK2-30.4983.3218.389.804.361.980.90
DAL2-30.4879.8616.528.673.881.740.76
TEN2-30.4448.9414.457.082.861.140.46
MIA2-20.4226.7414.046.942.590.970.37
IND2-30.4034.128.263.771.370.490.18
ARI2-30.4126.177.673.191.190.440.16
LAC1-40.4660.373.931.840.760.320.14
CHI1-40.4070.511.360.560.210.080.03
SF0-50.4350.450.690.290.110.050.02
NYG0-50.4170.280.450.180.070.030.01
CLE0-50.4050.320.480.190.070.020.01

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 5, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Detroit
[Week 5, Sunday] Kansas City over Philadelphia

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