Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 16, Final

Seattle over New England

Denver's stumble against Cincinnati has clinched homefield advantage for New England, and a playoff spot for Cincinnati. Now the AFC North, NFC South, and NFC North will all decided a single game (each) to end the season. The other division in play, the NFC West, won't have the two contenders facing off, but will have the games at the same time to prevent either team from resting or having a meaningless game.

I'm a little surprised that the Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh game has been chosen as the Sunday Night game. It'll probably be a better game than Atlanta vs Carolina, but that one has the typical "Winner makes the playoffs, loser goes home" setup of past years. Still, it would be hard to justify putting two teams with losing records into prime time with the availability of flexible scheduling.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	11-4	0.756	87.314	+	93.814	63.390	39.358	23.122
NE	12-3	0.754	+	+	+	65.155	42.470	24.139
GB	11-4	0.714	60.288	+	82.305	48.412	26.096	13.963
BAL	9-6	0.689	-	45.353	27.466	11.541	6.613	3.245
DAL	11-4	0.657	+	+	54.356	25.725	11.867	5.586
DEN	11-4	0.639	+	+	97.402	52.953	22.089	9.624
KC	8-7	0.635	-	2.000	1.092	0.395	0.203	0.087
HOU	8-7	0.627	-	13.766	7.395	2.618	1.320	0.558
IND	10-5	0.625	+	+	54.303	23.051	10.182	4.293
BUF	8-7	0.625	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	11-4	0.622	39.712	+	66.898	31.536	13.043	5.659
PHI	9-6	0.612	-	-	-	-	-	-
PIT	10-5	0.605	54.151	+	48.305	21.227	8.573	3.448
CIN	10-4-1	0.565	45.849	+	47.175	18.586	6.756	2.458
MIA	8-7	0.556	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	11-4	0.534	12.686	+	64.097	20.845	6.877	2.411
SD	9-6	0.525	-	38.881	16.861	4.473	1.793	0.589
ATL	6-9	0.491	62.479	62.479	26.795	7.770	2.290	0.716
NYG	6-9	0.477	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-9	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	7-8	0.455	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	6-9	0.454	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	6-9	0.452	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	7-8	0.436	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	6-8-1	0.367	37.521	37.521	11.735	2.322	0.468	0.101
CHI	5-10	0.289	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	4-11	0.287	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	2-13	0.244	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	3-12	0.236	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	3-12	0.196	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	2-13	0.194	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	3-12	0.192	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs (sort of): Arizona (Week 15, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs (for real this time): Arizona, New England, Indianapolis, Denver (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New England (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: New England (Week 16, Final)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]
[Week 16, Saturday]
[Week 16, Sunday]