Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 12, Final

New England over Green Bay

The reason I had trouble finding the right combination of games to get the Giants in the playoffs is that it likely involves someone tying in order to keep 1 or 2 teams at 7-8-1 and just behind the Giants best possible record of 8-8 . It's clear that they would have to be a wildcard, since both Dallas and Philadelphia have won 8 games, and they still have a game to play against each other. One of them will have to be at least 8-7-1, which will beat the Giants.

After some simulating and searching, the answer lies in the very next game - Chicago at Detroit. A tie in that game opens up the possibility of the Giants making the playoffs with no further ties. It would appear that a Detroit win would eliminate the Giants, through an extremely complex set of possible tiebreaker pairings (and triplets). A Chicago win keeps them alive, but requires the Detroit at Chicago game in a few weeks to be a tie. Given the unlikely nature of ties, Giants fans had better be rooting for one this week.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-2	0.688	96.498	98.448	93.783	55.529	32.696	19.060
GB	8-3	0.671	74.547	90.376	75.149	44.707	26.336	14.154
BAL	7-4	0.665	33.805	60.588	39.136	20.934	11.238	6.265
KC	7-4	0.641	24.241	65.618	42.177	21.722	11.020	5.858
IND	7-4	0.629	93.721	93.966	56.392	28.393	13.965	7.239
SEA	7-4	0.622	18.026	61.724	41.026	21.327	10.951	5.300
PHI	8-3	0.608	57.951	75.695	53.460	26.947	13.647	6.420
ARI	9-2	0.604	74.209	96.857	85.669	44.780	21.872	10.181
DAL	8-3	0.598	42.049	74.711	51.284	25.163	12.375	5.692
DEN	8-3	0.595	67.468	87.000	65.667	31.446	13.932	6.727
BUF	6-5	0.591	2.707	12.572	6.447	2.857	1.332	0.640
MIA	5-6	0.580	0.794	7.377	3.555	1.548	0.709	0.332
SD	7-4	0.564	8.292	28.953	15.243	6.502	2.800	1.264
CLE	7-4	0.551	14.481	31.116	15.715	6.456	2.668	1.171
SF	7-4	0.549	7.763	40.671	23.464	10.330	4.512	1.855
PIT	7-4	0.546	21.237	45.929	24.683	10.053	4.070	1.768
HOU	5-6	0.535	6.279	10.461	4.597	1.819	0.739	0.313
CIN	7-3-1	0.526	30.477	57.971	32.606	12.742	4.832	2.002
DET	7-4	0.519	24.768	52.473	29.128	12.039	4.941	1.888
NO	4-7	0.504	52.859	52.859	21.753	8.437	3.273	1.205
ATL	4-7	0.464	34.800	34.800	13.038	4.603	1.622	0.539
CHI	6-5	0.423	0.685	7.382	2.727	0.857	0.274	0.081
MIN	4-7	0.405	0.000	0.017	0.005	0.001	0.000	0.000
WAS	3-8	0.386	-	0.000	-	-	-	-
NYG	3-8	0.385	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	4-7	0.351	0.001	0.094	0.025	0.006	0.002	0.000
CAR	3-7-1	0.341	12.197	12.197	3.235	0.792	0.194	0.045
TB	2-9	0.326	0.145	0.145	0.036	0.009	0.002	0.000
TEN	2-9	0.307	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	1-10	0.287	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-9	0.271	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-10	0.245	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]