Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 13, Final

New England over Green Bay

Miami's narrow win over New York didn't change much, but of course bumped up Miami's playoff odds. New England is still the AFC East favorite by a large margin, but Miami has an 11.5% shot at a wildcard now.

I also played around with some scenarios today, and barring any ties, the Rams can actually win the NFC West if there is a 4-way tie at 9-7. It's only 0.01% likely to happen as listed below, but I'll be rooting for it.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-3	0.686	89.127	95.444	87.784	51.588	29.924	16.796
GB	9-3	0.682	71.356	95.804	83.153	50.067	29.042	15.935
BAL	7-5	0.660	18.908	37.357	21.492	11.086	5.863	3.122
IND	8-4	0.658	94.940	95.487	62.702	33.670	17.894	9.491
SEA	8-4	0.658	43.270	76.027	55.970	30.884	16.563	8.642
PHI	9-3	0.646	87.431	92.446	73.183	39.840	21.012	10.703
BUF	7-5	0.626	9.086	26.208	14.619	7.130	3.572	1.777
DEN	9-3	0.618	90.249	97.477	83.669	42.487	19.930	9.717
KC	7-5	0.616	2.364	48.006	24.685	11.619	5.606	2.715
MIA	6-6	0.589	1.787	11.508	5.577	2.525	1.162	0.533
HOU	6-6	0.583	5.060	15.495	7.391	3.271	1.484	0.669
ARI	9-3	0.578	53.906	91.546	68.037	31.188	13.742	6.028
SD	8-4	0.563	7.387	54.495	27.231	11.507	4.901	2.116
DET	8-4	0.561	28.642	74.560	44.485	19.103	8.280	3.492
DAL	8-4	0.556	12.569	49.936	26.699	11.338	4.857	2.027
PIT	7-5	0.540	14.965	30.632	15.184	5.950	2.373	0.971
CIN	8-3-1	0.529	58.253	73.247	43.239	16.804	6.396	2.551
CLE	7-5	0.516	7.874	14.645	6.428	2.363	0.896	0.346
SF	7-5	0.512	2.813	18.216	8.400	3.162	1.233	0.461
NO	5-7	0.509	54.259	54.260	22.238	8.252	3.105	1.154
ATL	5-7	0.485	43.812	43.812	16.941	5.952	2.111	0.739
STL	5-7	0.451	0.010	0.255	0.089	0.027	0.009	0.003
MIN	5-7	0.445	-	0.041	0.013	0.004	0.001	0.000
CHI	6-6	0.392	0.002	1.169	0.344	0.090	0.026	0.007
NYG	3-9	0.383	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-9	0.352	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	2-10	0.317	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	3-8-1	0.310	1.928	1.928	0.449	0.092	0.019	0.004
TEN	2-10	0.275	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-10	0.256	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-10	0.240	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	1-11	0.218	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]