Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 15, Thursday

New England over Green Bay

I hereby demand simulation of ties next year!

Right now I show Arizona having clinched a playoff berth. But, they don't truly clinch until Dallas and Philadelphia end in a non-tie, or some other combination of results this weekend. The odds of a tie are small, so I'll go ahead and say they've clinched. The Rams loss eliminated them, as well as Minnesota, because Minnesota's path to the playoffs involved getting into specific ties involving 3 or more teams at 9-7, including the Rams, who they beat head to head.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	10-3	0.705	98.664	99.481	95.575	57.081	33.181	18.919
BAL	8-5	0.688	34.746	65.750	39.735	20.662	11.268	6.205
GB	10-3	0.686	69.410	98.686	87.457	51.598	29.491	15.648
SEA	9-4	0.679	37.160	83.421	65.867	37.509	20.568	10.739
IND	9-4	0.662	96.678	97.770	61.802	31.676	16.102	8.403
PHI	9-4	0.635	74.011	79.429	45.191	22.015	11.105	5.264
DEN	10-3	0.632	99.503	99.968	95.406	48.501	22.149	10.841
MIA	7-6	0.612	1.024	16.239	7.706	3.463	1.578	0.739
HOU	7-6	0.612	3.322	21.726	10.829	4.730	2.190	1.025
BUF	7-6	0.612	0.312	7.443	3.536	1.576	0.724	0.339
KC	7-6	0.612	-	28.374	13.868	6.017	2.734	1.280
ARI	11-3	0.604	62.840	+	86.133	40.877	18.544	8.202
DET	9-4	0.600	30.590	83.842	54.599	25.479	11.627	5.093
DAL	9-4	0.579	25.989	51.328	27.184	11.856	5.206	2.168
PIT	8-5	0.576	34.784	62.103	30.679	12.399	5.129	2.215
SD	8-5	0.545	0.497	37.991	16.011	5.890	2.302	0.924
CLE	7-6	0.513	4.371	9.058	3.689	1.246	0.451	0.168
STL	6-8	0.487	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	7-6	0.485	-	3.294	1.311	0.452	0.163	0.054
CIN	8-4-1	0.483	26.100	54.098	21.164	6.760	2.193	0.754
ATL	5-8	0.475	49.028	49.028	16.699	5.541	1.862	0.596
MIN	6-7	0.460	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-8	0.454	39.459	39.459	12.738	4.002	1.274	0.387
NYG	4-9	0.436	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	4-8-1	0.361	11.513	11.513	2.821	0.670	0.161	0.037
CHI	5-8	0.330	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-10	0.305	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	2-11	0.289	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	2-11	0.246	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	2-11	0.231	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	2-11	0.222	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	2-11	0.215	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs (sort of): Arizona (Week 15, Thursday)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]