Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 7, Final

Baltimore over Dallas

The matchup of two 3-3 AFC teams didn't affect much at the top of the conference, and Baltimore is still favored. They did lose a little ground in the division since it was Pittsburgh that won. But, the Pittsburgh point differential is still negative, which makes it rather unlikely they'd be projected to surpass Baltimore, and so they're only projected to win the division in under 7% of cases. Indianapolis got a boost from the Houston loss and has the largest division chances of any team, but they stayed just behind Baltimore in terms of Superbowl chances.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	5-2	0.660	78.181	88.569	71.267	41.482	23.734	14.143
SD	5-2	0.635	39.107	79.518	57.575	31.523	16.855	9.600
IND	5-2	0.632	93.899	95.624	76.712	42.048	22.449	12.704
GB	5-2	0.593	43.186	72.772	53.781	29.041	15.467	7.469
DEN	5-1	0.590	52.205	84.649	64.450	32.056	15.328	8.011
DET	5-2	0.589	47.169	76.621	58.387	31.367	16.526	7.920
DAL	6-1	0.589	54.282	87.065	69.871	37.505	19.865	9.518
PHI	5-1	0.585	44.627	78.755	60.215	31.859	16.718	7.943
ARI	5-1	0.545	61.752	74.940	54.970	26.656	12.678	5.512
KC	3-3	0.544	8.682	36.696	19.746	8.591	3.735	1.780
NE	5-2	0.543	59.688	67.486	40.079	17.268	7.403	3.518
SEA	3-3	0.533	16.214	29.647	17.519	8.128	3.791	1.606
CHI	4-3	0.524	9.427	29.239	17.407	8.004	3.674	1.522
SF	4-3	0.524	20.436	38.691	22.975	10.459	4.766	1.975
HOU	3-4	0.511	5.569	17.472	8.318	3.363	1.371	0.608
BUF	4-3	0.507	33.073	41.875	20.572	8.068	3.179	1.398
CLE	3-3	0.502	5.601	19.478	9.391	3.702	1.470	0.640
CIN	3-2-1	0.488	9.323	30.493	14.740	5.589	2.132	0.898
PIT	4-3	0.483	6.895	26.727	12.488	4.692	1.776	0.741
NO	2-4	0.482	28.466	29.006	12.335	5.044	2.081	0.781
NYG	3-4	0.470	0.909	6.261	2.980	1.190	0.485	0.177
MIA	2-4	0.467	6.729	9.360	3.993	1.422	0.511	0.205
ATL	2-5	0.451	17.125	17.383	6.813	2.582	0.988	0.342
WAS	2-5	0.439	0.181	1.008	0.431	0.160	0.060	0.020
CAR	3-3-1	0.433	51.406	51.687	19.803	7.170	2.617	0.864
STL	2-4	0.418	1.599	2.534	1.001	0.346	0.124	0.039
MIN	2-5	0.411	0.219	1.326	0.539	0.186	0.066	0.020
TEN	2-5	0.394	0.498	1.315	0.443	0.133	0.040	0.013
NYJ	1-6	0.377	0.511	0.642	0.198	0.054	0.015	0.005
TB	1-5	0.376	3.003	3.064	0.972	0.301	0.094	0.027
OAK	0-6	0.374	0.006	0.030	0.009	0.003	0.001	0.000
JAC	1-6	0.343	0.034	0.066	0.018	0.005	0.001	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]