Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 8, Thursday

Baltimore over Dallas

It's an extremely close race at the top of the AFC, with Baltimore, Denver, and Indianapolis having between a 22 and 23.7% chance of winning the conference, each. Despite yesterday's result, I'd still project San Diego to beat Denver just over 50% of the time, but not much more than that. The NFC stays the same, because none of them played yesterday.

I just found out that the London game this Sunday will be on at 8:30am local time for me, which sounds pretty good - I'll get a chance to watch games in 4 timeslots instead of 3, if I actually have a chance to stay home most of the day. However, I don't think I'd appreciate that quite as much if I was on the west coast. 6:30 on a Sunday just seems a little too early to drag myself out of bed for football.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	5-2	0.660	78.639	89.195	71.312	41.438	23.778	14.171
IND	5-2	0.632	93.900	95.777	76.215	41.620	22.323	12.639
SD	5-3	0.611	13.851	63.558	38.580	19.526	9.930	5.415
DEN	6-1	0.611	78.786	94.620	81.951	43.889	22.038	12.001
GB	5-2	0.593	43.179	72.741	53.783	29.044	15.468	7.489
DET	5-2	0.589	47.170	76.580	58.348	31.337	16.515	7.929
DAL	6-1	0.589	54.285	87.026	69.841	37.496	19.861	9.533
PHI	5-1	0.585	44.622	78.708	60.175	31.851	16.723	7.962
ARI	5-1	0.545	61.514	74.765	54.810	26.584	12.637	5.506
KC	3-3	0.544	7.357	38.206	20.133	8.721	3.800	1.811
NE	5-2	0.543	59.972	67.932	40.317	17.325	7.440	3.537
SEA	3-3	0.533	16.163	29.619	17.516	8.123	3.786	1.608
CHI	4-3	0.524	9.433	29.208	17.392	8.000	3.674	1.528
SF	4-3	0.524	20.731	39.123	23.280	10.600	4.826	2.004
HOU	3-4	0.511	5.569	18.243	8.631	3.477	1.418	0.630
BUF	4-3	0.507	32.730	41.633	20.574	8.057	3.182	1.399
CLE	3-3	0.502	5.546	20.374	9.767	3.841	1.526	0.663
CIN	3-2-1	0.488	8.990	30.888	14.794	5.600	2.143	0.903
PIT	4-3	0.483	6.824	27.848	12.921	4.846	1.836	0.765
NO	2-4	0.482	28.469	29.005	12.334	5.040	2.076	0.781
NYG	3-4	0.470	0.912	6.245	2.974	1.187	0.484	0.177
MIA	2-4	0.467	6.784	9.569	4.100	1.457	0.525	0.210
ATL	2-5	0.451	17.129	17.384	6.816	2.583	0.990	0.344
WAS	2-5	0.439	0.181	1.003	0.429	0.159	0.061	0.020
CAR	3-3-1	0.433	51.400	51.679	19.794	7.165	2.617	0.867
STL	2-4	0.418	1.593	2.526	0.999	0.345	0.123	0.039
MIN	2-5	0.411	0.218	1.325	0.538	0.186	0.066	0.021
TEN	2-5	0.394	0.497	1.401	0.471	0.140	0.042	0.014
NYJ	1-6	0.377	0.514	0.659	0.206	0.056	0.015	0.005
TB	1-5	0.376	3.003	3.063	0.972	0.301	0.094	0.027
OAK	0-6	0.374	0.006	0.030	0.009	0.003	0.001	0.000
JAC	1-6	0.343	0.034	0.069	0.020	0.005	0.001	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]