So...what's going on here? Cincinnati is the 2nd strongest team, and Arizona is 7th overall, 3rd in the NFC. Yet, I've got them favored to win their respective conferences. It all comes down to the weakness of their future schedule, as well as the tiebreakers they've pushed their way towards winning, such as division record. To be clear, in an Arizona vs Detroit or Dallas game, I would have Arizona losing. But, by averaging 100 million simulations, Arizona comes out atop the NFC 16.338% of the time, more than any other team, and likewise for Cincinnati in the AFC with 18.177% of the simulations. The long and short of it is that the projection remains the same for another day.
In Fantasy Football news, my Larry Donnell pickup led the way for both of my teams to basically clinch the week by the end of Sunday's games. I've also got Stevan Ridley playing tonight in both leagues, but his points will just be tiebreaker fodder.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 3-1 | 0.584 | 35.167 | 71.820 | 51.281 | 27.546 | 14.825 | 8.235 |
| CIN | 3-0 | 0.581 | 53.907 | 80.331 | 62.970 | 33.910 | 18.177 | 10.053 |
| SD | 3-1 | 0.577 | 61.038 | 76.251 | 58.700 | 31.453 | 16.536 | 9.078 |
| IND | 2-2 | 0.561 | 38.705 | 51.278 | 33.140 | 16.967 | 8.634 | 4.603 |
| DET | 3-1 | 0.555 | 51.839 | 67.769 | 51.409 | 27.534 | 14.603 | 7.312 |
| DAL | 3-1 | 0.551 | 39.896 | 60.557 | 44.309 | 23.502 | 12.375 | 6.149 |
| ARI | 3-0 | 0.549 | 56.115 | 75.157 | 58.835 | 31.163 | 16.338 | 8.070 |
| HOU | 3-1 | 0.547 | 57.182 | 70.199 | 49.116 | 24.469 | 12.038 | 6.240 |
| NE | 2-1 | 0.539 | 39.700 | 50.273 | 32.629 | 15.837 | 7.636 | 3.901 |
| SEA | 2-1 | 0.531 | 27.337 | 51.541 | 35.303 | 17.826 | 8.982 | 4.280 |
| PHI | 3-1 | 0.529 | 36.744 | 55.461 | 38.848 | 19.608 | 9.856 | 4.681 |
| ATL | 2-2 | 0.527 | 53.090 | 57.544 | 35.804 | 17.811 | 8.852 | 4.182 |
| NYG | 2-2 | 0.523 | 20.247 | 34.400 | 21.707 | 10.780 | 5.346 | 2.505 |
| DEN | 2-1 | 0.516 | 28.207 | 48.689 | 30.871 | 14.296 | 6.569 | 3.201 |
| MIN | 2-2 | 0.515 | 21.439 | 38.335 | 24.911 | 12.140 | 5.903 | 2.719 |
| BUF | 2-2 | 0.510 | 30.262 | 37.721 | 20.937 | 9.472 | 4.279 | 2.058 |
| MIA | 2-2 | 0.498 | 21.553 | 30.854 | 17.141 | 7.581 | 3.345 | 1.572 |
| SF | 2-2 | 0.498 | 11.682 | 29.756 | 17.674 | 8.276 | 3.890 | 1.726 |
| PIT | 2-2 | 0.496 | 6.724 | 24.801 | 13.539 | 5.947 | 2.641 | 1.236 |
| CLE | 1-2 | 0.494 | 4.201 | 16.459 | 8.786 | 3.851 | 1.706 | 0.795 |
| GB | 2-2 | 0.492 | 14.391 | 26.795 | 15.980 | 7.405 | 3.431 | 1.502 |
| KC | 1-2 | 0.491 | 9.956 | 19.972 | 10.981 | 4.812 | 2.099 | 0.972 |
| CHI | 2-2 | 0.484 | 12.330 | 25.151 | 15.025 | 6.858 | 3.127 | 1.347 |
| WAS | 1-3 | 0.475 | 3.113 | 8.854 | 4.759 | 2.126 | 0.954 | 0.401 |
| NO | 1-3 | 0.473 | 14.469 | 18.280 | 9.398 | 4.142 | 1.830 | 0.767 |
| NYJ | 1-3 | 0.464 | 8.485 | 13.072 | 6.535 | 2.663 | 1.087 | 0.474 |
| CAR | 2-2 | 0.451 | 26.616 | 32.294 | 17.159 | 7.202 | 3.024 | 1.204 |
| STL | 1-2 | 0.448 | 4.865 | 10.808 | 5.641 | 2.368 | 0.997 | 0.394 |
| TB | 1-3 | 0.420 | 5.825 | 7.298 | 3.238 | 1.259 | 0.492 | 0.181 |
| TEN | 1-3 | 0.410 | 3.326 | 5.830 | 2.442 | 0.875 | 0.315 | 0.121 |
| OAK | 0-4 | 0.402 | 0.799 | 1.160 | 0.446 | 0.157 | 0.055 | 0.021 |
| JAC | 0-4 | 0.388 | 0.787 | 1.291 | 0.486 | 0.164 | 0.056 | 0.020 |
[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
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