Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 12, Thursday

New England over Arizona

I wonder what the record is for teams in their first game after elimination, as compared to pre-elimination. Oakland certainly tipped that balance in favor of the eliminated teams last night, waiting until their season was utterly meaningless to upset Kansas City. KC only lost by a little, so they're still the 4th strongest team. However, they were expected to win that game, so their odds of winning the AFC West just fell precipitously, and Denver's improved greatly. Even San Diego's chances almost doubled to over 9%.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
GB	7-3	0.662	53.698	87.651	68.980	40.153	22.929	12.674
BAL	6-4	0.656	30.432	53.459	35.224	19.372	10.698	5.872
NE	8-2	0.650	90.357	95.602	87.474	49.291	27.476	14.900
KC	7-4	0.641	30.451	69.111	47.718	25.939	13.895	7.407
ARI	9-1	0.631	90.451	99.099	94.623	52.858	27.939	14.502
DAL	7-3	0.594	45.251	73.877	47.778	23.034	11.217	5.392
DEN	7-3	0.593	60.423	79.534	60.017	29.699	14.087	6.796
IND	6-4	0.592	80.594	82.447	47.809	23.081	11.023	5.309
MIA	5-5	0.591	6.993	26.011	14.745	7.037	3.432	1.650
SEA	6-4	0.587	6.414	40.813	24.244	11.335	5.411	2.558
DET	7-3	0.585	45.823	81.228	57.387	27.820	13.137	6.197
PHI	7-3	0.580	54.693	71.896	44.751	20.906	9.871	4.602
SD	6-4	0.559	9.126	26.773	14.891	6.694	3.011	1.347
HOU	5-5	0.554	19.387	31.419	16.569	7.303	3.215	1.423
CLE	6-4	0.548	15.845	30.840	16.483	7.135	3.096	1.352
PIT	7-4	0.546	30.416	53.109	31.104	13.461	5.775	2.515
SF	6-4	0.539	3.116	39.349	20.715	8.655	3.708	1.577
NO	4-6	0.516	55.191	55.214	23.341	9.210	3.714	1.501
BUF	5-5	0.514	2.650	7.742	3.613	1.448	0.592	0.240
CIN	6-3-1	0.506	23.307	43.936	24.348	9.541	3.701	1.468
ATL	4-6	0.468	36.863	36.884	13.922	4.887	1.751	0.627
CHI	5-5	0.411	0.450	5.020	1.837	0.548	0.171	0.053
MIN	4-6	0.411	0.030	0.543	0.182	0.054	0.017	0.005
WAS	3-7	0.398	0.021	0.066	0.021	0.006	0.002	0.001
NYG	3-7	0.388	0.034	0.057	0.018	0.005	0.001	0.000
STL	4-6	0.356	0.019	0.358	0.103	0.026	0.007	0.002
TB	2-8	0.345	0.387	0.387	0.105	0.026	0.006	0.002
CAR	3-7-1	0.341	7.559	7.559	1.993	0.478	0.118	0.029
TEN	2-8	0.333	0.018	0.018	0.005	0.001	0.000	0.000
NYJ	2-8	0.326	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
OAK	1-10	0.287	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	1-9	0.281	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]