Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 6, Thursday

San Diego over Dallas

Indianapolis jumped 1 spot, and Houston fell by 3 in absolute strength, but not much really changed at the top. San Diego is still the AFC favorite, and the NFC is virtually unaffected by the all-AFC-South game, unless it comes to some pretty seriously deep tiebreakers. Indianapolis and Houston already combined to own the division championship in 98% of the the outcomes, and still hold that amount combined, with more now belonging to Indy, of course. The division is looking like a 2-team race, with Tennessee and Jacksonville a combined 1-9 through 5 weeks.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SD	4-1	0.626	62.588	85.011	70.758	41.383	23.959	14.251
IND	4-2	0.586	77.930	83.869	61.555	32.884	17.109	9.472
BAL	3-2	0.579	34.691	57.975	39.584	20.533	10.512	5.748
DAL	4-1	0.560	41.751	69.394	52.448	28.139	15.047	7.403
GB	3-2	0.553	40.602	55.426	38.213	20.116	10.535	5.101
DET	3-2	0.551	44.651	60.384	42.817	22.484	11.722	5.657
DEN	3-1	0.551	29.802	62.261	42.258	20.396	9.962	5.162
SEA	3-1	0.550	45.531	65.570	49.656	26.146	13.557	6.526
CIN	3-1	0.544	39.844	59.031	40.776	19.639	9.265	4.734
NYG	3-2	0.542	21.849	45.288	30.384	15.567	7.989	3.781
PHI	4-1	0.538	35.640	62.658	45.069	22.985	11.727	5.510
KC	2-3	0.538	7.392	24.559	14.181	6.660	3.166	1.599
NE	3-2	0.532	33.009	43.821	26.867	12.483	5.753	2.875
HOU	3-3	0.527	20.349	39.902	23.230	10.717	4.911	2.425
BUF	3-2	0.518	43.379	50.262	28.865	12.926	5.747	2.787
ATL	2-3	0.513	34.826	38.385	21.548	10.277	4.898	2.177
PIT	3-2	0.513	16.294	34.880	20.829	9.295	4.106	1.971
SF	3-2	0.509	20.148	39.142	24.766	11.839	5.623	2.480
ARI	3-1	0.500	31.247	51.732	34.624	16.255	7.567	3.269
MIA	2-2	0.498	21.017	29.637	16.136	6.920	2.962	1.379
CLE	2-2	0.496	9.171	21.480	12.118	5.205	2.220	1.029
NO	2-3	0.485	21.827	25.792	13.631	6.116	2.744	1.145
CHI	2-3	0.472	7.656	14.311	7.778	3.441	1.519	0.615
CAR	3-2	0.467	40.744	46.590	26.466	11.420	4.914	1.965
WAS	1-4	0.456	0.759	3.303	1.606	0.680	0.290	0.113
MIN	2-3	0.450	7.091	13.493	7.071	2.970	1.244	0.478
STL	1-3	0.440	3.074	5.362	2.608	1.067	0.436	0.163
TB	1-4	0.413	2.602	3.171	1.316	0.497	0.189	0.066
TEN	1-4	0.407	1.521	2.797	1.091	0.375	0.130	0.049
NYJ	1-4	0.404	2.596	3.708	1.456	0.487	0.164	0.061
OAK	0-4	0.402	0.218	0.495	0.192	0.066	0.023	0.008
JAC	0-5	0.362	0.200	0.313	0.104	0.031	0.010	0.003

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]