Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 5, Sunday

San Diego over Dallas

Well, easy come, easy go, right? Cincinnati is now the 4th most likely team to make the Superbowl from the AFC, and Arizona is 7th in the NFC. The Cardinals were definitely riding on a razor's edge on the strength of being undefeated. Their point differential is now exactly 0, meaning they're projected as a .500 team the rest of the way, despite being 3-1.

San Diego was already the 3rd strongest team, and their 31-0 victory brought them way up to the top, by quite a margin. Dallas is now the strongest and most favored team in the NFC. Seattle seems to have a way of suddenly breaking out for large numbers of points, and/or completely shutting down opponents on defense, so we'll see if Dallas can hang onto that spot for more than today.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SD	4-1	0.626	62.520	84.801	70.721	41.445	24.132	14.426
BAL	3-2	0.579	34.579	57.413	39.533	20.639	10.609	5.832
IND	3-2	0.579	57.304	68.086	47.438	24.876	12.763	7.009
DAL	4-1	0.560	41.190	69.559	52.848	28.517	15.367	7.593
GB	3-2	0.553	40.637	55.860	39.072	20.744	10.934	5.322
DET	3-2	0.551	44.682	60.828	43.686	23.135	12.147	5.890
DEN	3-1	0.551	29.766	62.104	42.221	20.456	10.050	5.238
CIN	3-1	0.544	39.900	58.758	40.731	19.732	9.350	4.807
NYG	3-2	0.541	21.809	46.237	31.252	16.105	8.329	3.957
HOU	3-2	0.541	40.699	57.330	37.447	18.033	8.529	4.362
PHI	4-1	0.538	35.136	62.940	45.511	23.348	12.010	5.667
KC	2-3	0.538	7.491	24.608	14.310	6.760	3.231	1.642
NE	3-2	0.532	33.101	43.873	26.847	12.539	5.809	2.921
SEA	2-1	0.531	35.631	52.632	37.573	19.047	9.526	4.428
BUF	3-2	0.518	43.320	50.181	28.862	13.007	5.813	2.836
ATL	2-3	0.513	34.703	38.408	21.909	10.543	5.058	2.261
PIT	3-2	0.513	16.324	34.642	20.796	9.339	4.142	2.001
SF	3-2	0.509	23.843	41.167	26.392	12.708	6.064	2.684
ARI	3-1	0.500	36.608	53.904	36.707	17.370	8.126	3.527
MIA	2-2	0.498	20.986	29.520	16.119	6.963	2.996	1.403
CLE	2-2	0.496	9.198	21.311	12.093	5.232	2.242	1.047
NO	2-3	0.485	21.758	25.899	13.918	6.304	2.850	1.195
WAS	1-3	0.475	1.865	8.124	4.332	1.932	0.865	0.355
CHI	2-3	0.472	7.673	14.545	8.033	3.590	1.596	0.650
CAR	3-2	0.467	41.000	47.107	27.257	11.866	5.141	2.066
MIN	2-3	0.450	7.008	13.589	7.236	3.071	1.297	0.501
STL	1-3	0.440	3.918	6.055	2.949	1.214	0.498	0.188
TB	1-4	0.413	2.540	3.146	1.325	0.507	0.193	0.068
TEN	1-4	0.407	1.759	2.848	1.120	0.388	0.135	0.051
NYJ	1-4	0.404	2.594	3.686	1.452	0.490	0.166	0.062
OAK	0-4	0.402	0.223	0.504	0.197	0.068	0.024	0.009
JAC	0-5	0.362	0.238	0.335	0.112	0.034	0.011	0.004

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]