2014-11-11

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 10, Final

Denver over Arizona

With 1.5 billion simulations, I finally got Oakland into the playoffs a few times, although not enough times for them to win a playoff game. Philadelphia couldn't overtake Arizona in the NFC since they are still a game behind, and the projection of Denver over Arizona stays the same.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL6-40.65734.55554.79034.87219.11610.5355.871
KC6-30.64030.74478.56754.08229.14315.6038.411
PHI7-20.63468.84286.61565.83135.90919.47610.145
IND6-30.62592.76893.76765.45034.14917.6389.232
GB6-30.61931.58065.52642.94422.23611.6345.884
NE7-20.61980.87988.03869.55835.88718.2309.430
DEN7-20.61366.62491.24073.60037.41018.7869.591
ARI8-10.60981.77696.76984.95044.50722.53811.155
DET7-20.60067.65190.97871.00735.85017.8838.694
DAL7-30.59530.94070.40243.69021.45810.6075.094
SEA6-30.59315.01454.58733.19216.1987.9313.796
CLE6-30.58033.26653.12532.12814.9926.9623.318
MIA4-50.5636.34214.2237.3473.3101.4900.684
NO4-50.54672.54472.60632.89214.2946.2432.692
BUF5-40.54212.77622.89611.5974.9632.1190.928
PIT6-40.54122.11046.23024.88610.5794.4841.961
SD5-40.5412.63219.1319.2603.9661.7030.744
SF5-40.5253.19927.61213.5145.6132.3600.967
HOU4-50.5197.19114.6426.6962.7271.1100.461
CIN5-3-10.47110.06923.29810.5113.7551.3400.496
ATL3-60.46518.79918.8597.0592.5220.9070.321
WAS3-60.4370.1160.5460.1900.0630.0220.007
MIN4-50.4300.4303.8851.4190.4620.1550.050
NYG3-60.4040.1020.5390.1710.0520.0160.005
CHI4-50.4010.3392.2880.7820.2340.0730.022
CAR3-6-10.3498.5778.5842.3070.5890.1510.038
STL3-60.3390.0110.1240.0330.0080.0020.001
TEN2-70.3380.0400.0480.0120.0030.0010.000
NYJ2-80.3250.0030.0030.0010.0000.0000.000
TB1-80.3240.0790.0800.0200.0050.0010.000
OAK0-90.3100.0000.000----
JAC1-90.2800.0010.0010.0000.0000.0000.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]

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