Atlanta nearly broke my projections with a ridiculous 56-0 win, but they let up and Tampa scored 2 TDs to make the game slightly closer to a realistic score. During the game, I was pondering adding in an attenuation parameter, which would make any blowout only worth a win by maybe 4 touchdowns, for strength calculation purposes. I suppose for now I'll let the 6 TD victory stand. Still, Atlanta may be vastly overrated at this point, as they are the second most likely team to make the Superbowl for the NFC. As it stands, they couldn't quite take over the lead from Carolina, so the projection holds steady at least until Sunday.
TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HOU | 2-0 | 0.553 | 62.333 | 73.269 | 55.586 | 29.858 | 15.937 | 8.425 |
CAR | 2-0 | 0.550 | 51.390 | 69.401 | 52.014 | 27.669 | 14.695 | 7.724 |
ATL | 2-1 | 0.546 | 40.569 | 60.973 | 43.036 | 22.620 | 11.898 | 6.199 |
CIN | 2-0 | 0.544 | 51.888 | 68.023 | 50.712 | 26.688 | 13.953 | 7.250 |
WAS | 1-1 | 0.542 | 30.635 | 47.641 | 32.658 | 17.021 | 8.836 | 4.572 |
BUF | 2-0 | 0.542 | 49.412 | 65.909 | 48.700 | 25.522 | 13.260 | 6.862 |
PHI | 2-0 | 0.532 | 43.411 | 59.339 | 42.327 | 21.616 | 10.983 | 5.572 |
BAL | 1-1 | 0.531 | 21.974 | 41.978 | 27.202 | 13.816 | 7.022 | 3.559 |
ARI | 2-0 | 0.528 | 44.088 | 60.566 | 43.450 | 22.013 | 11.073 | 5.577 |
DEN | 2-0 | 0.526 | 54.255 | 66.759 | 47.499 | 23.945 | 11.992 | 6.007 |
NE | 1-1 | 0.520 | 19.637 | 36.282 | 23.232 | 11.542 | 5.725 | 2.834 |
SEA | 1-1 | 0.519 | 23.388 | 40.436 | 26.401 | 13.082 | 6.463 | 3.197 |
SD | 1-1 | 0.517 | 31.284 | 44.985 | 29.041 | 14.309 | 7.034 | 3.462 |
MIN | 1-1 | 0.512 | 27.012 | 39.369 | 25.310 | 12.323 | 5.985 | 2.915 |
DAL | 1-1 | 0.511 | 21.159 | 34.835 | 21.914 | 10.694 | 5.204 | 2.533 |
CHI | 1-1 | 0.510 | 27.273 | 39.770 | 25.547 | 12.390 | 5.996 | 2.910 |
DET | 1-1 | 0.509 | 26.557 | 37.490 | 23.425 | 11.332 | 5.470 | 2.650 |
SF | 1-1 | 0.506 | 21.760 | 36.202 | 22.748 | 10.944 | 5.250 | 2.526 |
TEN | 1-1 | 0.500 | 22.028 | 37.058 | 22.796 | 10.834 | 5.160 | 2.453 |
CLE | 1-1 | 0.498 | 14.801 | 28.773 | 17.453 | 8.277 | 3.930 | 1.860 |
NYJ | 1-1 | 0.496 | 16.618 | 32.313 | 19.867 | 9.356 | 4.406 | 2.078 |
NO | 0-2 | 0.492 | 6.907 | 15.875 | 9.021 | 4.227 | 1.985 | 0.929 |
MIA | 1-1 | 0.488 | 14.333 | 30.087 | 17.795 | 8.231 | 3.808 | 1.766 |
IND | 0-2 | 0.484 | 9.843 | 16.664 | 9.216 | 4.231 | 1.950 | 0.895 |
GB | 1-1 | 0.478 | 19.159 | 27.004 | 15.689 | 7.092 | 3.206 | 1.455 |
PIT | 1-1 | 0.468 | 11.336 | 23.760 | 13.421 | 5.936 | 2.633 | 1.168 |
OAK | 0-2 | 0.457 | 8.024 | 12.021 | 6.159 | 2.658 | 1.151 | 0.498 |
KC | 0-2 | 0.455 | 6.438 | 11.234 | 5.759 | 2.468 | 1.060 | 0.457 |
STL | 1-1 | 0.451 | 10.764 | 19.721 | 10.816 | 4.604 | 1.957 | 0.836 |
NYG | 0-2 | 0.449 | 4.795 | 8.481 | 4.305 | 1.834 | 0.782 | 0.332 |
JAC | 0-2 | 0.443 | 5.796 | 10.886 | 5.561 | 2.328 | 0.979 | 0.411 |
TB | 0-3 | 0.425 | 1.134 | 2.895 | 1.338 | 0.538 | 0.217 | 0.087 |
[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
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