2014-09-19

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 3, Thursday

Houston over Carolina

Atlanta nearly broke my projections with a ridiculous 56-0 win, but they let up and Tampa scored 2 TDs to make the game slightly closer to a realistic score. During the game, I was pondering adding in an attenuation parameter, which would make any blowout only worth a win by maybe 4 touchdowns, for strength calculation purposes. I suppose for now I'll let the 6 TD victory stand. Still, Atlanta may be vastly overrated at this point, as they are the second most likely team to make the Superbowl for the NFC. As it stands, they couldn't quite take over the lead from Carolina, so the projection holds steady at least until Sunday.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
HOU2-00.55362.33373.26955.58629.85815.9378.425
CAR2-00.55051.39069.40152.01427.66914.6957.724
ATL2-10.54640.56960.97343.03622.62011.8986.199
CIN2-00.54451.88868.02350.71226.68813.9537.250
WAS1-10.54230.63547.64132.65817.0218.8364.572
BUF2-00.54249.41265.90948.70025.52213.2606.862
PHI2-00.53243.41159.33942.32721.61610.9835.572
BAL1-10.53121.97441.97827.20213.8167.0223.559
ARI2-00.52844.08860.56643.45022.01311.0735.577
DEN2-00.52654.25566.75947.49923.94511.9926.007
NE1-10.52019.63736.28223.23211.5425.7252.834
SEA1-10.51923.38840.43626.40113.0826.4633.197
SD1-10.51731.28444.98529.04114.3097.0343.462
MIN1-10.51227.01239.36925.31012.3235.9852.915
DAL1-10.51121.15934.83521.91410.6945.2042.533
CHI1-10.51027.27339.77025.54712.3905.9962.910
DET1-10.50926.55737.49023.42511.3325.4702.650
SF1-10.50621.76036.20222.74810.9445.2502.526
TEN1-10.50022.02837.05822.79610.8345.1602.453
CLE1-10.49814.80128.77317.4538.2773.9301.860
NYJ1-10.49616.61832.31319.8679.3564.4062.078
NO0-20.4926.90715.8759.0214.2271.9850.929
MIA1-10.48814.33330.08717.7958.2313.8081.766
IND0-20.4849.84316.6649.2164.2311.9500.895
GB1-10.47819.15927.00415.6897.0923.2061.455
PIT1-10.46811.33623.76013.4215.9362.6331.168
OAK0-20.4578.02412.0216.1592.6581.1510.498
KC0-20.4556.43811.2345.7592.4681.0600.457
STL1-10.45110.76419.72110.8164.6041.9570.836
NYG0-20.4494.7958.4814.3051.8340.7820.332
JAC0-20.4435.79610.8865.5612.3280.9790.411
TB0-30.4251.1342.8951.3380.5380.2170.087



[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]

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