Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 5, Thursday

Cincinnati over Arizona

Before Thursday's blowout, Green Bay had a negative point differential (and thus a below-.500 strength), and Minnesota's was positive (and thus an above-.500 strength). But those positions swapped with the 32 point victory by Green Bay. For the moment, Green Bay is the second strongest team in the NFC, even ahead of favorite Arizona. Arizona remains the favorite because 3-0 is a better position to be in than 3-2, and Detroit is still favored to win the NFC North at 3-1.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	3-1	0.584	34.692	70.951	51.171	27.519	14.831	8.179
CIN	3-0	0.582	54.813	80.595	64.036	34.542	18.533	10.178
SD	3-1	0.577	53.639	72.760	56.408	30.324	15.968	8.706
IND	2-2	0.562	39.540	51.798	33.844	17.366	8.849	4.683
DET	3-1	0.555	50.191	69.386	52.493	27.879	14.705	7.372
GB	3-2	0.553	33.618	55.589	38.502	20.228	10.600	5.288
DAL	3-1	0.551	40.238	60.280	43.968	23.139	12.082	6.010
ARI	3-0	0.549	56.096	74.414	57.909	30.455	15.814	7.818
HOU	3-1	0.547	56.445	69.309	48.875	24.415	12.032	6.188
KC	2-2	0.546	20.778	40.854	26.394	13.095	6.440	3.305
SEA	2-1	0.531	27.372	50.846	34.701	17.396	8.690	4.144
PHI	3-1	0.529	35.970	54.145	37.630	18.861	9.399	4.470
ATL	2-2	0.527	52.460	56.709	34.894	17.216	8.489	4.017
NYG	2-2	0.523	20.457	34.170	21.445	10.568	5.197	2.436
DEN	2-1	0.516	25.043	46.841	30.287	14.076	6.471	3.125
BUF	2-2	0.510	39.556	44.145	24.189	10.918	4.925	2.353
MIA	2-2	0.498	28.383	35.049	19.209	8.473	3.731	1.737
SF	2-2	0.498	11.675	28.676	16.975	7.894	3.675	1.632
PIT	2-2	0.496	6.360	23.275	12.905	5.685	2.531	1.175
CLE	1-2	0.494	4.135	15.777	8.597	3.774	1.677	0.775
CHI	2-2	0.484	11.174	25.792	15.235	6.897	3.122	1.346
NE	2-2	0.478	19.642	24.562	12.773	5.378	2.264	1.011
WAS	1-3	0.475	3.335	9.073	4.863	2.153	0.957	0.404
NO	1-3	0.473	14.201	17.621	8.916	3.893	1.706	0.717
NYJ	1-3	0.464	12.420	16.278	8.073	3.283	1.337	0.577
CAR	2-2	0.451	27.303	32.686	17.119	7.119	2.963	1.182
MIN	2-3	0.450	5.017	12.721	6.673	2.793	1.172	0.466
STL	1-2	0.448	4.857	10.442	5.415	2.254	0.942	0.373
TB	1-3	0.420	6.036	7.450	3.261	1.255	0.486	0.180
TEN	1-3	0.410	3.250	5.697	2.422	0.870	0.313	0.119
OAK	0-4	0.402	0.541	0.881	0.348	0.123	0.044	0.016
JAC	0-4	0.388	0.765	1.228	0.468	0.158	0.054	0.019

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]