Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 15, Sunday

Arizona over New England

I'm a bit shocked, but the numbers don't lie. I now have Arizona favored to win the NFC. They had a decent margin of victory, and Carolina didn't, bringing their strength high enough to overcome the clinched bye week advantage Carolina has. Of course, Arizona is currently in line for the other NFC bye.

As for the ins and outs this week, Arizona clinched the NFC West, New England clinched a first round bye, and Green Bay, Seattle, and Cincinnati locked up playoff spots. Eliminated from the playoffs were St. Louis, New Orleans, Chicago, Tampa Bay, and Buffalo. The AFC South and NFC East each have 3 teams still vying for the division championship, but none of them can win a wildcard spot. Other than the NFC East title, the last unclaimed NFC spot will go to Atlanta or Minnesota. In the AFC there is also only one more team than unclaimed playoff spots, with Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Denver, and New York in contention for 3 spots. Either Denver or KC will win the AFC West, so one of them is in, but they both could be too. In the AFC South, Jacksonville is still alive at 5-9! They'll have to go 7-9 to win the division though, with Houston already 7-7.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	12-2	0.779	+	+	97.52	64.20	35.63	19.99
NE	12-2	0.770	+	+	+	65.02	37.18	19.66
CAR	14-0	0.770	+	+	+	64.20	34.51	18.90
CIN	11-3	0.754	96.24	+	90.03	55.69	29.38	14.89
SEA	9-5	0.722	-	+	72.60	31.72	15.34	7.45
KC	9-5	0.711	55.78	94.24	58.99	26.87	13.04	5.91
PIT	9-5	0.671	3.76	91.80	57.29	22.66	9.98	4.07
GB	10-4	0.668	68.25	+	66.53	24.64	10.19	4.32
NYJ	9-5	0.648	-	32.36	16.09	5.83	2.46	0.95
DEN	10-4	0.611	44.22	81.60	50.75	18.42	6.72	2.34
MIN	9-5	0.555	31.75	99.62	36.56	9.82	3.03	0.95
NYG	6-8	0.527	4.61	4.61	1.45	0.36	0.10	0.03
BUF	6-8	0.510	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	7-7	0.479	-	0.38	0.20	0.04	0.01	0.00
WAS	7-7	0.468	72.74	72.74	19.83	4.09	1.00	0.24
HOU	7-7	0.441	85.45	85.45	23.62	4.96	1.14	0.24
JAC	5-9	0.433	5.00	5.00	1.35	0.28	0.06	0.01
OAK	6-8	0.429	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	6-8	0.418	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	6-8	0.416	22.64	22.64	5.32	0.92	0.19	0.04
BAL	4-10	0.384	-	-	-	-	-	-
NO	5-8	0.378	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	5-9	0.374	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	6-8	0.373	-	-	-	-	-	-
DET	4-9	0.365	-	-	-	-	-	-
SD	4-10	0.362	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	5-9	0.337	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	6-8	0.334	9.55	9.55	1.87	0.27	0.04	0.01
DAL	4-10	0.329	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	3-11	0.322	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	3-11	0.254	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-10	0.215	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Carolina (Week 14, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Saturday]