Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 10, Sunday

New England over Carolina

At 9-0, both New England and Carolina are leading their respective conferences, but both are still just shy of clinching a playoff berth. 10-0 might do it for them, or at least push them to the 99.99% threshold.

St. Louis has shown me the error of my ways in having hope, cutting their playoff odds drastically for two consecutive weeks. They're now below 10%, and there aren't that many weeks left to gain back some ground.

Tonight, Cleveland could become the first team eliminated from a division (but not a wildcard spot), if Cincinnati manages a win to go 9-0. They should handle Houston easily, but anything can happen.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-0	0.699	98.76	99.96	97.64	63.88	37.89	22.04
ARI	7-2	0.677	94.01	97.13	82.40	49.70	28.57	15.35
CIN	8-0	0.654	97.55	99.94	95.01	57.33	29.06	15.46
CAR	9-0	0.644	94.17	99.94	96.39	55.98	29.22	14.67
MIN	7-2	0.602	67.69	90.44	64.20	30.14	14.58	6.67
PIT	6-4	0.596	2.44	60.92	36.36	15.34	7.10	3.34
DEN	7-2	0.582	86.53	91.98	56.73	24.38	10.76	4.91
ATL	6-3	0.577	5.78	76.71	41.41	18.03	8.17	3.54
GB	6-3	0.570	31.80	81.12	46.96	20.09	9.02	3.84
NYJ	5-4	0.568	0.67	47.48	26.75	10.48	4.55	2.01
PHI	4-5	0.559	34.51	37.40	18.45	7.69	3.32	1.38
KC	4-5	0.558	8.99	36.54	19.05	7.27	3.09	1.33
BUF	5-4	0.546	0.56	43.73	23.47	8.69	3.58	1.51
SEA	4-5	0.545	3.38	17.63	8.28	3.37	1.44	0.58
NYG	5-5	0.536	37.87	40.85	19.22	7.53	3.07	1.21
WAS	4-5	0.492	26.98	30.46	12.94	4.55	1.67	0.59
OAK	4-5	0.475	4.23	13.48	5.71	1.73	0.60	0.21
STL	4-5	0.459	2.57	9.82	3.62	1.19	0.41	0.13
BAL	2-7	0.451	0.00	0.33	0.13	0.04	0.01	0.00
IND	4-5	0.447	58.79	59.17	22.54	6.44	2.03	0.67
HOU	3-5	0.439	25.49	25.98	9.67	2.71	0.84	0.27
CHI	4-5	0.433	0.52	6.34	2.20	0.65	0.21	0.06
MIA	4-5	0.432	0.00	3.85	1.50	0.41	0.13	0.04
SD	2-7	0.429	0.25	0.51	0.19	0.05	0.02	0.00
TB	4-5	0.412	0.03	7.69	2.55	0.71	0.22	0.06
TEN	2-7	0.404	3.77	3.81	1.29	0.32	0.09	0.03
NO	4-6	0.404	0.01	3.36	1.06	0.29	0.09	0.02
DAL	2-7	0.397	0.64	0.67	0.22	0.06	0.02	0.00
JAC	3-6	0.387	11.95	12.31	3.97	0.94	0.25	0.07
DET	2-7	0.335	0.00	0.17	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
CLE	2-8	0.332	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-6	0.304	0.04	0.25	0.06	0.01	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]