2015-11-09

Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 9, Sunday

New England over Carolina

Both Superbowl participants changed since Thursday. Carolina was just slightly favored, so their win gave them a large boost, while New England grabbed control of the AFC with a 17-point win over Washington. Green Bay seems to be in trouble after 2 losses in a row, but I'd guess they will bounce back, and I still have them 88% likely to be in the playoffs. The Rams didn't do them any favors by losing to Minnesota, in a very winnable game. That brought the St. Louis playoff odds down below 28%.

Tonight we get 2-5 Chicago at 2-6 San Diego, which may finally lower ratings enough to put an end to Monday Night Football. Or at least move it to TNT.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE8-00.69095.6799.8993.8459.7634.8420.64
ARI6-20.66877.1788.9672.4443.7925.8213.77
CIN8-00.65498.6599.9592.6555.0128.5515.81
CAR8-00.61389.7999.4293.6051.0826.0512.35
DEN7-10.61393.8397.1470.8134.2716.428.37
ATL6-30.5779.8670.1839.8218.608.823.87
NYJ5-30.5773.6769.0240.4916.687.393.49
GB6-20.57257.7588.5561.5928.5113.415.80
MIN6-20.56742.1675.6948.5522.2310.344.42
SEA4-40.56511.3827.6514.556.773.151.34
PHI4-40.56047.2650.1525.2411.345.152.17
PIT5-40.5521.3446.2823.258.943.781.69
NYG5-40.53842.3345.7422.069.364.041.61
BUF4-40.5360.6632.9216.466.102.471.07
KC3-50.5262.0019.609.073.251.300.55
STL4-40.51811.4127.4512.625.252.200.84
OAK4-40.5043.8927.6912.464.221.590.64
BAL2-60.4560.011.820.680.200.070.02
NO4-50.4550.299.703.731.280.460.15
IND4-50.44760.4361.0323.736.942.190.76
TEN2-60.4407.948.183.120.890.280.09
HOU3-50.43924.7225.429.722.790.860.29
SD2-60.4360.291.260.460.130.040.01
MIA3-50.4320.002.470.870.240.080.03
WAS3-50.4238.8610.293.691.170.380.11
DAL2-60.4121.551.710.590.180.060.02
TB3-50.4120.063.531.210.370.120.03
CHI2-50.3900.090.810.260.070.020.01
JAC2-60.3876.917.182.370.580.150.04
CLE2-70.3690.000.130.040.010.000.00
DET1-70.3410.000.030.010.000.000.00
SF3-60.3040.040.150.040.010.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]

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