Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 9, Sunday

New England over Carolina

Both Superbowl participants changed since Thursday. Carolina was just slightly favored, so their win gave them a large boost, while New England grabbed control of the AFC with a 17-point win over Washington. Green Bay seems to be in trouble after 2 losses in a row, but I'd guess they will bounce back, and I still have them 88% likely to be in the playoffs. The Rams didn't do them any favors by losing to Minnesota, in a very winnable game. That brought the St. Louis playoff odds down below 28%.

Tonight we get 2-5 Chicago at 2-6 San Diego, which may finally lower ratings enough to put an end to Monday Night Football. Or at least move it to TNT.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	8-0	0.690	95.67	99.89	93.84	59.76	34.84	20.64
ARI	6-2	0.668	77.17	88.96	72.44	43.79	25.82	13.77
CIN	8-0	0.654	98.65	99.95	92.65	55.01	28.55	15.81
CAR	8-0	0.613	89.79	99.42	93.60	51.08	26.05	12.35
DEN	7-1	0.613	93.83	97.14	70.81	34.27	16.42	8.37
ATL	6-3	0.577	9.86	70.18	39.82	18.60	8.82	3.87
NYJ	5-3	0.577	3.67	69.02	40.49	16.68	7.39	3.49
GB	6-2	0.572	57.75	88.55	61.59	28.51	13.41	5.80
MIN	6-2	0.567	42.16	75.69	48.55	22.23	10.34	4.42
SEA	4-4	0.565	11.38	27.65	14.55	6.77	3.15	1.34
PHI	4-4	0.560	47.26	50.15	25.24	11.34	5.15	2.17
PIT	5-4	0.552	1.34	46.28	23.25	8.94	3.78	1.69
NYG	5-4	0.538	42.33	45.74	22.06	9.36	4.04	1.61
BUF	4-4	0.536	0.66	32.92	16.46	6.10	2.47	1.07
KC	3-5	0.526	2.00	19.60	9.07	3.25	1.30	0.55
STL	4-4	0.518	11.41	27.45	12.62	5.25	2.20	0.84
OAK	4-4	0.504	3.89	27.69	12.46	4.22	1.59	0.64
BAL	2-6	0.456	0.01	1.82	0.68	0.20	0.07	0.02
NO	4-5	0.455	0.29	9.70	3.73	1.28	0.46	0.15
IND	4-5	0.447	60.43	61.03	23.73	6.94	2.19	0.76
TEN	2-6	0.440	7.94	8.18	3.12	0.89	0.28	0.09
HOU	3-5	0.439	24.72	25.42	9.72	2.79	0.86	0.29
SD	2-6	0.436	0.29	1.26	0.46	0.13	0.04	0.01
MIA	3-5	0.432	0.00	2.47	0.87	0.24	0.08	0.03
WAS	3-5	0.423	8.86	10.29	3.69	1.17	0.38	0.11
DAL	2-6	0.412	1.55	1.71	0.59	0.18	0.06	0.02
TB	3-5	0.412	0.06	3.53	1.21	0.37	0.12	0.03
CHI	2-5	0.390	0.09	0.81	0.26	0.07	0.02	0.01
JAC	2-6	0.387	6.91	7.18	2.37	0.58	0.15	0.04
CLE	2-7	0.369	0.00	0.13	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
DET	1-7	0.341	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-6	0.304	0.04	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]