Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 12, Sunday

New England over Carolina

Every year, I seem to fall under the spell of the undefeated team, and start to assume they'll win every game the rest of the year. I was sure New England would beat Denver last night, even though Denver was only 2 games behind them. The snow added a bit more randomness to the game, I think, but Denver came away with a legitimate victory in overtime.

Now that I've seen a 10-0 team lose this year, I won't take Carolina's games for granted either. I will make a point to watch them, and probably root for them to ultimately go 19-0.

Believe it or not, no one is eliminated from the playoffs just yet. Tampa Bay was eliminated from winning the NFC South, since they can only win 10 and cannot catch Carolina. Denver's win eliminated San Diego from the AFC West, Cincinnati's win over St. Louis eliminated Cleveland from the AFC North ahead of their divisional game with Baltimore tonight, and San Francisco directly caused their own demise in the NFC West race by losing to Arizona. Buffalo is also eliminated from the AFC East. They could still tie New England, but New England has beaten them twice, so they cannot win the division via a 2-team tiebreaker. In a 3 team tiebreaker with the Jets, New England's 3-1 head to head record would beat Buffalo's 2-2 and the Jets' 1-3.

As I said, the Rams lost again, and Jeff Fisher blew up in his press conference. He might not give the Rams a chance to fire him, he might just quite before the year is out.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	10-1	0.716	99.92	100.00	97.04	62.34	36.24	20.11
CAR	11-0	0.713	99.96	100.00	99.84	66.42	38.02	20.94
ARI	9-2	0.698	97.13	99.67	91.32	57.80	31.07	16.58
CIN	9-2	0.696	98.77	99.95	88.55	53.94	28.92	15.36
KC	6-5	0.630	8.75	82.13	49.35	21.38	10.02	4.60
GB	7-4	0.599	39.75	87.63	53.69	21.59	9.42	4.02
DEN	9-2	0.599	90.98	98.74	71.22	30.94	13.05	5.57
SEA	6-5	0.593	2.86	53.21	28.97	11.16	4.88	2.05
NYJ	6-5	0.589	0.08	44.12	22.20	8.65	3.71	1.55
MIN	8-3	0.588	59.89	92.94	58.28	23.18	9.79	4.07
PIT	6-5	0.574	1.23	36.71	18.28	6.79	2.81	1.13
ATL	6-5	0.554	0.04	36.23	17.65	6.05	2.43	0.93
NYG	5-6	0.526	31.53	33.45	15.00	4.87	1.77	0.63
BUF	5-6	0.518	-	16.00	6.53	2.09	0.76	0.27
HOU	6-5	0.496	40.58	49.73	19.53	6.01	2.01	0.66
IND	6-5	0.478	56.95	60.30	22.81	6.68	2.12	0.67
OAK	5-6	0.470	0.27	8.68	3.42	0.95	0.31	0.09
BAL	3-7	0.455	0.00	0.52	0.18	0.05	0.02	0.00
WAS	5-6	0.448	55.67	56.82	21.10	5.52	1.63	0.47
TB	5-6	0.440	-	12.73	4.77	1.18	0.35	0.10
PHI	4-7	0.439	10.52	10.55	3.82	0.98	0.28	0.08
CHI	5-6	0.432	0.28	8.57	3.03	0.72	0.21	0.06
STL	4-7	0.394	0.01	1.92	0.58	0.12	0.03	0.01
DET	4-7	0.388	0.08	2.83	0.90	0.19	0.05	0.01
SD	3-8	0.386	-	0.07	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00
TEN	2-9	0.383	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
JAC	4-7	0.383	2.47	2.90	0.83	0.18	0.04	0.01
MIA	4-7	0.380	-	0.14	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
DAL	3-8	0.378	2.27	2.27	0.71	0.15	0.04	0.01
NO	4-7	0.372	-	1.17	0.34	0.07	0.02	0.00
CLE	2-8	0.333	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-8	0.259	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]