Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 11, Sunday

New England over Carolina

Carolina solidified their position at the top of the NFC, and Cincinnati lost more ground to New England, who plays Monday night, so the projection stays the same. By virtue of being scheduled on Monday instead of Sunday, New England does not join Carolina in tying to be the first team to reach a 99.99% chance at the playoffs. They almost certainly will reach that with a win, but it'll be one day too late. There have still been no eliminations, and any team could win their division.

The Rams are just terrible, much as it pains me to admit that to myself. At this point I'm going to have to start rooting for a whole lot of AFC-NFC matchups to go the AFC team's way to weaken the field enough to give them a shot at a wildcard spot. Like I said before, the division wouldn't be impossible, but it'll take a collapse by Arizona to get there.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-0	0.698	99.33	99.97	97.97	62.76	37.22	20.84
CAR	10-0	0.683	98.91	99.99	99.24	63.00	35.00	19.05
ARI	8-2	0.681	96.78	98.95	87.91	54.09	29.63	16.06
CIN	8-2	0.653	94.84	99.75	86.61	50.22	25.40	12.95
KC	5-5	0.616	11.41	62.08	36.43	16.17	7.83	3.69
GB	7-3	0.603	64.80	94.26	62.81	27.73	12.91	5.92
PIT	6-4	0.596	5.15	59.23	34.51	14.68	6.77	3.04
DEN	8-2	0.588	87.94	95.69	66.74	30.55	13.33	5.89
SEA	5-5	0.579	2.95	31.65	16.03	6.46	2.87	1.25
ATL	6-4	0.572	1.05	58.31	30.46	11.94	5.19	2.22
MIN	7-3	0.563	34.98	77.13	44.15	17.40	7.36	3.08
NYJ	5-5	0.555	0.13	25.55	12.86	4.85	2.06	0.84
BUF	5-4	0.546	0.54	44.49	22.94	8.50	3.50	1.40
NYG	5-5	0.536	56.92	58.19	27.60	9.99	3.91	1.53
PHI	4-6	0.500	20.96	21.44	9.31	3.08	1.11	0.40
TB	5-5	0.466	0.04	23.76	9.40	2.76	0.93	0.31
OAK	4-6	0.464	0.65	5.11	2.05	0.60	0.21	0.07
HOU	5-5	0.457	38.73	42.09	15.87	4.75	1.53	0.49
BAL	3-7	0.455	0.01	0.54	0.20	0.06	0.02	0.01
IND	5-5	0.453	52.20	53.76	20.10	5.95	1.88	0.60
STL	4-6	0.451	0.27	5.20	1.85	0.52	0.17	0.05
WAS	4-6	0.437	19.52	21.06	7.85	2.17	0.66	0.20
CHI	4-6	0.427	0.20	3.40	1.17	0.30	0.09	0.03
DAL	3-7	0.417	2.60	2.63	0.93	0.24	0.07	0.02
MIA	4-6	0.411	0.00	1.28	0.43	0.11	0.03	0.01
NO	4-6	0.404	0.00	3.62	1.17	0.28	0.08	0.02
JAC	4-6	0.392	8.94	10.28	3.24	0.79	0.21	0.06
TEN	2-8	0.389	0.13	0.14	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
SD	2-8	0.376	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
DET	3-7	0.334	0.01	0.37	0.10	0.02	0.00	0.00
CLE	2-8	0.333	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-7	0.277	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]