Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 8, Sunday

Arizona over New England

This one doesn't seem to pass the smell test, but I've got Arizona over New England. Indeed, New England has had a better average game than Arizona, but Arizona has played 8 games to New England's 7, so their strength number isn't artificially held back as far. The design of my system would argue we can be slightly more sure of how good Arizona is, and that's the logic that puts them ahead. Anyway, by moving to 7-0, both New England and Cincinnati almost reached the next threshold in my tracker, a 99.9% chance at the playoffs. A win next week should do it for either of them.

In Rams news, they won again, and now have a 40% shot at the playoffs. It's been awhile since their odds were that high this late in the season. It's kind of nice to have hope.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	6-2	0.668	72.45	86.83	70.83	42.90	25.70	14.38
NE	7-0	0.661	94.31	99.70	90.04	54.87	31.53	17.84
CIN	7-0	0.619	97.50	99.70	85.80	47.11	24.00	12.51
DEN	7-0	0.619	95.28	98.91	82.80	45.09	23.01	11.98
CAR	6-0	0.598	72.02	95.09	80.80	42.39	21.15	10.27
GB	6-1	0.590	73.74	92.41	73.62	37.17	18.37	8.76
ATL	6-2	0.576	25.97	79.83	51.94	24.93	11.85	5.48
NYJ	4-3	0.568	4.91	63.42	36.04	15.60	7.16	3.36
SEA	4-4	0.565	9.59	22.76	11.95	5.62	2.67	1.20
MIN	5-2	0.560	26.19	56.59	34.49	15.86	7.35	3.28
PHI	3-4	0.550	39.64	40.93	19.99	8.91	3.99	1.74
PIT	4-4	0.550	2.40	32.77	16.65	6.88	3.04	1.37
KC	3-5	0.526	0.92	21.05	10.04	3.90	1.64	0.70
STL	4-3	0.525	17.95	40.02	20.49	8.76	3.78	1.56
NYG	4-4	0.512	33.15	34.53	15.57	6.33	2.60	1.04
OAK	4-3	0.509	3.71	47.26	23.15	8.69	3.46	1.42
BUF	3-4	0.506	0.65	20.76	9.65	3.59	1.44	0.59
NO	4-4	0.465	1.52	13.89	5.83	2.11	0.78	0.28
MIA	3-4	0.462	0.13	9.94	4.04	1.34	0.49	0.18
WAS	3-4	0.459	20.86	22.63	9.11	3.25	1.17	0.41
BAL	2-6	0.456	0.05	2.01	0.76	0.25	0.09	0.03
IND	3-4	0.446	52.38	52.87	21.29	6.75	2.25	0.79
HOU	3-5	0.440	29.11	29.88	11.88	3.71	1.22	0.42
SD	2-6	0.436	0.10	1.50	0.55	0.17	0.06	0.02
TB	3-4	0.436	0.49	7.34	2.87	0.96	0.33	0.11
TEN	1-6	0.424	5.35	5.49	2.09	0.63	0.20	0.07
DAL	2-5	0.421	6.35	6.50	2.31	0.74	0.24	0.08
CLE	2-6	0.408	0.06	0.74	0.24	0.07	0.02	0.01
JAC	2-5	0.396	13.16	14.01	4.97	1.37	0.40	0.12
CHI	2-5	0.390	0.07	0.59	0.19	0.05	0.02	0.00
DET	1-7	0.341	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	2-6	0.313	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]