Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 5, Final

Green Bay over Cincinnati

Cincinnati's divisional chances went down a bit due to Pittsburgh's win, and now they lead the AFC by just the slimmest of margins over New England, with Denver still just behind in 3rd. The NFC was relatively unaffected, with most movement coming from teams in the West that will face Pittsburgh this year, or the North who will face San Diego. For example, because the Rams have already faced Pittsburgh and Arizona hasn't, and Pittsburgh got stronger, Arizona's divisional chances dropped by 0.05%, and St. Louis's went up by as much. Of course, some of that movement could be due to the random nature of the simulations I run, but at least part of it is significant.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	4-1	0.626	80.61	89.32	69.55	39.30	22.09	12.38
GB	5-0	0.603	88.61	96.23	82.27	44.76	23.79	12.76
NE	4-0	0.596	56.75	88.44	69.76	38.07	20.45	10.54
NYJ	3-1	0.584	31.36	74.82	52.63	27.47	14.36	7.23
CIN	5-0	0.581	78.69	91.40	75.13	39.95	20.66	10.33
ATL	5-0	0.579	60.88	95.17	75.58	39.06	19.38	9.91
DEN	5-0	0.577	89.39	93.14	74.96	39.39	20.17	10.00
CAR	4-0	0.570	37.87	83.98	57.94	28.76	14.02	7.04
PIT	3-2	0.553	16.62	42.84	25.82	12.47	6.05	2.85
NYG	3-2	0.544	51.67	59.82	33.25	15.10	6.95	3.31
BUF	3-2	0.538	11.40	50.05	29.24	13.62	6.42	2.93
PHI	2-3	0.530	20.82	28.58	14.53	6.38	2.85	1.32
SEA	2-3	0.529	11.85	28.68	14.45	6.42	2.89	1.33
TEN	1-3	0.521	29.82	32.76	16.05	7.13	3.21	1.41
MIN	2-2	0.517	9.85	35.04	18.24	7.86	3.44	1.55
WAS	2-3	0.484	16.04	24.46	11.15	4.39	1.76	0.74
BAL	1-4	0.475	1.05	4.78	2.14	0.85	0.35	0.14
CLE	2-3	0.474	3.64	10.41	5.06	2.04	0.84	0.33
IND	3-2	0.469	56.55	58.65	26.59	10.48	4.19	1.63
SD	2-3	0.467	6.09	14.66	6.75	2.66	1.07	0.41
OAK	2-3	0.466	3.28	13.22	6.03	2.37	0.95	0.37
KC	1-4	0.454	1.24	5.57	2.39	0.91	0.35	0.13
DAL	2-3	0.442	11.48	15.93	6.55	2.32	0.84	0.32
STL	2-3	0.435	6.77	17.22	6.85	2.42	0.87	0.32
TB	2-3	0.435	1.01	11.90	4.77	1.66	0.59	0.22
NO	1-4	0.429	0.24	2.82	1.07	0.36	0.13	0.05
HOU	1-4	0.428	7.60	8.67	3.38	1.20	0.43	0.15
MIA	1-3	0.428	0.49	3.56	1.49	0.53	0.20	0.07
JAC	1-4	0.409	6.03	7.03	2.57	0.86	0.30	0.10
CHI	2-3	0.400	1.36	7.70	2.74	0.87	0.29	0.10
DET	0-5	0.399	0.18	0.83	0.29	0.09	0.03	0.01
SF	1-4	0.385	0.77	2.33	0.78	0.24	0.08	0.02

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]