Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 9, Final

New England over Carolina

With two bad teams playing last night, nothing really changed at the top. The biggest change that mattered was a 0.20% boost in Denver's chances at the division, since division rival San Diego took the loss. Somewhat curiously, their playoff chances went down by 0.16%, meaning their Wildcard chances went down .36%, despite an NFC victory over an AFC team, ostensibly weakening the competition. I don't know this for sure, but I assume the reason is either a strength of victory or strength of schedule tiebreaker Denver now loses due to playing San Diego twice, or the frequencies of combinations of teams tied in the AFC Wildcard race are changed unfavorably for Denver by San Diego being in the mix less frequently. Tiebreakers are fun.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	8-0	0.690	95.67	99.89	93.83	59.74	34.82	20.63
ARI	6-2	0.668	77.17	88.97	72.47	43.82	25.84	13.78
CIN	8-0	0.654	98.65	99.95	92.60	54.94	28.52	15.79
CAR	8-0	0.613	89.79	99.41	93.59	51.09	26.06	12.36
DEN	7-1	0.613	94.03	97.28	70.94	34.35	16.46	8.39
ATL	6-3	0.577	9.87	70.05	39.75	18.57	8.81	3.86
NYJ	5-3	0.577	3.67	69.09	40.51	16.69	7.39	3.49
GB	6-2	0.572	57.72	88.46	61.56	28.50	13.41	5.80
MIN	6-2	0.567	42.11	75.57	48.51	22.21	10.33	4.42
SEA	4-4	0.565	11.39	27.62	14.54	6.76	3.15	1.34
PHI	4-4	0.560	47.25	50.11	25.22	11.33	5.14	2.17
PIT	5-4	0.552	1.34	46.21	23.19	8.92	3.77	1.69
NYG	5-4	0.537	42.34	45.73	22.06	9.36	4.03	1.61
BUF	4-4	0.536	0.66	33.04	16.51	6.12	2.48	1.07
KC	3-5	0.526	2.01	19.92	9.22	3.31	1.32	0.56
STL	4-4	0.518	11.40	27.38	12.60	5.24	2.19	0.83
OAK	4-4	0.504	3.88	27.85	12.51	4.24	1.60	0.64
BAL	2-6	0.456	0.01	1.81	0.67	0.20	0.07	0.02
NO	4-5	0.455	0.29	9.61	3.70	1.27	0.45	0.15
IND	4-5	0.447	60.40	61.01	23.72	6.93	2.19	0.76
TEN	2-6	0.440	7.94	8.19	3.12	0.90	0.28	0.10
HOU	3-5	0.439	24.71	25.41	9.72	2.79	0.86	0.29
MIA	3-5	0.432	0.00	2.50	0.88	0.25	0.08	0.03
SD	2-7	0.429	0.08	0.47	0.17	0.04	0.01	0.00
WAS	3-5	0.423	8.85	10.27	3.69	1.17	0.38	0.11
DAL	2-6	0.412	1.56	1.71	0.59	0.18	0.06	0.02
TB	3-5	0.412	0.06	3.51	1.21	0.37	0.12	0.03
CHI	3-5	0.391	0.17	1.41	0.45	0.13	0.04	0.01
JAC	2-6	0.387	6.95	7.23	2.38	0.58	0.15	0.05
CLE	2-7	0.369	0.00	0.14	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
DET	1-7	0.341	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-6	0.304	0.04	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]