Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 3, Final

Arizona over New England

The same teams are still at the top, but Arizona's overall odds went down just slightly, while New England's improved. Why is that? The answer is the wildcard picture. Green Bay, of the NFC, defeated Kansas City of the AFC. While those teams are not in the same division as either of the current conference favorites, they could wind up competing for a wildcard slot. That lowers Arizona's playoff chances just a bit, and raises New England's, which cascades through all rounds.

At the bottom of the pile, Chicago's in worse wildcard AND divisional position since they're in the NFC North with Green Bay, bringing them to a season low 0.11% chance of winning the Superbowl.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	3-0	0.584	75.41	86.09	70.45	39.88	22.30	12.15
NE	3-0	0.562	49.42	76.75	59.49	31.75	16.84	8.84
NYJ	2-1	0.560	26.69	57.04	40.20	21.17	11.14	5.83
CIN	3-0	0.552	57.71	75.27	57.85	30.31	15.65	8.06
DEN	3-0	0.552	64.34	76.60	59.44	31.10	15.98	8.22
CAR	3-0	0.550	49.04	76.54	56.60	29.59	15.20	7.76
BUF	2-1	0.549	20.94	51.03	34.23	17.55	9.03	4.62
PIT	2-1	0.549	32.39	50.59	34.70	17.87	9.13	4.67
GB	3-0	0.545	64.75	80.02	59.86	30.89	15.73	7.95
ATL	3-0	0.529	44.89	78.04	56.27	27.98	13.73	6.72
SEA	1-2	0.527	12.66	29.08	17.02	8.32	4.10	2.00
MIN	2-1	0.525	30.60	51.92	32.97	16.12	7.88	3.83
TEN	1-2	0.520	33.87	38.00	21.48	10.25	4.91	2.37
NYG	1-2	0.511	23.05	31.78	17.84	8.37	3.95	1.87
DAL	2-1	0.500	42.52	50.77	29.71	13.64	6.28	2.89
HOU	1-2	0.490	28.74	32.18	17.23	7.72	3.46	1.57
WAS	1-2	0.490	17.58	26.17	14.38	6.45	2.90	1.31
PHI	1-2	0.488	16.85	23.62	12.62	5.63	2.53	1.14
OAK	2-1	0.484	18.82	34.55	20.30	9.05	4.02	1.80
KC	1-2	0.483	7.81	19.14	10.65	4.72	2.09	0.93
BAL	0-3	0.475	2.83	6.27	3.16	1.38	0.60	0.26
CLE	1-2	0.470	7.07	13.66	7.45	3.24	1.40	0.61
SD	1-2	0.469	9.03	17.11	9.18	3.94	1.69	0.73
STL	1-2	0.461	8.41	19.61	10.18	4.31	1.84	0.78
NO	0-3	0.456	1.40	6.01	2.85	1.18	0.49	0.21
IND	1-2	0.454	21.06	23.55	11.24	4.62	1.91	0.80
MIA	1-2	0.452	2.96	9.33	4.80	1.99	0.83	0.35
DET	0-3	0.450	2.86	7.59	3.66	1.50	0.62	0.26
TB	1-2	0.441	4.66	16.57	8.21	3.29	1.33	0.54
JAC	1-2	0.431	16.33	18.94	8.60	3.35	1.31	0.52
SF	1-2	0.425	3.52	11.76	5.47	2.11	0.83	0.32
CHI	0-3	0.421	1.79	4.44	1.91	0.72	0.28	0.11

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]