Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 11, Thursday

New England over Carolina

Once again, two bottom-tier teams played on Thursday, so nothing really changes at the top. More interesting is the bottom, where Jacksonville still had a 9.5% chance at the division before the game, but upset Tennessee and now are up to 15.6%. It's a low-performing division, of course, with 2-8 Tennessee not eliminated yet and we're quite likely to see a 7-9 team win it.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-0	0.698	98.77	99.96	98.12	64.20	37.83	22.00
ARI	7-2	0.676	93.97	97.10	82.31	49.62	28.52	15.26
CIN	8-1	0.662	96.50	99.85	92.37	56.17	28.98	15.67
CAR	9-0	0.644	94.19	99.94	96.40	55.97	29.22	14.60
MIN	7-2	0.601	67.68	90.44	64.23	30.17	14.59	6.64
PIT	6-4	0.596	3.50	60.21	35.93	15.07	6.96	3.28
DEN	7-2	0.582	86.40	91.85	59.02	25.75	11.20	5.11
ATL	6-3	0.577	5.77	76.76	41.43	18.05	8.18	3.52
GB	6-3	0.570	31.80	81.07	46.95	20.09	9.02	3.82
NYJ	5-4	0.568	0.67	47.72	26.84	10.41	4.51	2.00
PHI	4-5	0.559	34.50	37.40	18.46	7.70	3.32	1.37
KC	4-5	0.558	9.04	36.40	18.93	7.17	3.04	1.31
BUF	5-4	0.546	0.55	43.21	23.14	8.46	3.48	1.47
SEA	4-5	0.544	3.42	17.66	8.29	3.38	1.44	0.57
NYG	5-5	0.536	37.87	40.87	19.24	7.54	3.08	1.20
WAS	4-5	0.492	26.99	30.49	12.96	4.56	1.67	0.59
OAK	4-5	0.475	4.31	13.49	5.70	1.72	0.60	0.21
STL	4-5	0.459	2.57	9.69	3.57	1.18	0.41	0.13
BAL	2-7	0.451	0.00	0.30	0.12	0.03	0.01	0.00
IND	4-5	0.447	49.65	50.37	19.25	5.49	1.72	0.57
HOU	4-5	0.443	34.33	35.45	13.38	3.77	1.17	0.38
CHI	4-5	0.433	0.52	6.33	2.20	0.65	0.21	0.06
MIA	4-5	0.432	0.00	3.84	1.49	0.40	0.12	0.04
SD	2-7	0.429	0.25	0.50	0.19	0.05	0.02	0.00
TB	4-5	0.412	0.04	7.76	2.57	0.72	0.22	0.06
NO	4-6	0.404	0.01	3.40	1.07	0.29	0.09	0.02
DAL	2-7	0.398	0.64	0.67	0.22	0.06	0.02	0.00
JAC	4-6	0.392	15.56	16.36	5.37	1.29	0.35	0.10
TEN	2-8	0.389	0.46	0.47	0.15	0.04	0.01	0.00
DET	2-7	0.335	0.00	0.18	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
CLE	2-8	0.332	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	3-6	0.304	0.04	0.25	0.06	0.01	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]