2015-11-20

Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 11, Thursday

New England over Carolina

Once again, two bottom-tier teams played on Thursday, so nothing really changes at the top. More interesting is the bottom, where Jacksonville still had a 9.5% chance at the division before the game, but upset Tennessee and now are up to 15.6%. It's a low-performing division, of course, with 2-8 Tennessee not eliminated yet and we're quite likely to see a 7-9 team win it.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE9-00.69898.7799.9698.1264.2037.8322.00
ARI7-20.67693.9797.1082.3149.6228.5215.26
CIN8-10.66296.5099.8592.3756.1728.9815.67
CAR9-00.64494.1999.9496.4055.9729.2214.60
MIN7-20.60167.6890.4464.2330.1714.596.64
PIT6-40.5963.5060.2135.9315.076.963.28
DEN7-20.58286.4091.8559.0225.7511.205.11
ATL6-30.5775.7776.7641.4318.058.183.52
GB6-30.57031.8081.0746.9520.099.023.82
NYJ5-40.5680.6747.7226.8410.414.512.00
PHI4-50.55934.5037.4018.467.703.321.37
KC4-50.5589.0436.4018.937.173.041.31
BUF5-40.5460.5543.2123.148.463.481.47
SEA4-50.5443.4217.668.293.381.440.57
NYG5-50.53637.8740.8719.247.543.081.20
WAS4-50.49226.9930.4912.964.561.670.59
OAK4-50.4754.3113.495.701.720.600.21
STL4-50.4592.579.693.571.180.410.13
BAL2-70.4510.000.300.120.030.010.00
IND4-50.44749.6550.3719.255.491.720.57
HOU4-50.44334.3335.4513.383.771.170.38
CHI4-50.4330.526.332.200.650.210.06
MIA4-50.4320.003.841.490.400.120.04
SD2-70.4290.250.500.190.050.020.00
TB4-50.4120.047.762.570.720.220.06
NO4-60.4040.013.401.070.290.090.02
DAL2-70.3980.640.670.220.060.020.00
JAC4-60.39215.5616.365.371.290.350.10
TEN2-80.3890.460.470.150.040.010.00
DET2-70.3350.000.180.040.010.000.00
CLE2-80.3320.000.000.000.000.000.00
SF3-60.3040.040.250.060.010.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]

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