Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 7, Final

New England over Green Bay

Arizona won and are still the strongest team in the league based on my scoring metric, but their two losses have them still behind Green Bay as NFC favorites. Baltimore continues to slide, and I'm hoping that will mean St. Louis can beat them later this year, since their game against Cincinnati seems to probably turn out as a loss.

I should point out we're starting to see some 0.00 values in the Conference Championship and Superbowl Championship columns. Those don't mean 0, those mean values below 0.005% that round to 0.00. When a team is truly eliminated from a spot - or at least when 0 simulations result in them reaching that spot - the number disappears completely. As long as a team has some shot at a playoff spot, ideally none of their other columns should zero out completely.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	5-2	0.647	74.25	84.61	63.51	36.08	20.54	11.57
NE	6-0	0.624	79.37	97.53	84.83	48.46	26.75	14.11
GB	6-0	0.617	85.16	97.05	84.68	45.99	24.38	12.95
CIN	6-0	0.601	87.88	97.97	83.38	45.37	23.54	11.86
CAR	6-0	0.598	61.88	96.09	77.97	40.67	20.35	10.42
NYJ	4-2	0.595	16.61	77.84	51.83	25.98	13.34	6.63
DEN	6-0	0.582	93.79	96.76	77.50	39.87	19.72	9.54
ATL	6-1	0.579	37.38	91.93	64.53	31.49	15.08	7.43
PIT	4-3	0.560	11.73	46.70	26.43	12.27	5.82	2.69
SEA	3-4	0.559	12.11	23.43	11.62	5.34	2.50	1.18
MIN	4-2	0.554	14.56	52.02	29.29	13.24	6.06	2.83
PHI	3-4	0.550	32.47	35.69	17.44	7.74	3.48	1.61
NYG	4-3	0.520	43.18	47.36	22.42	9.29	3.89	1.69
MIA	3-3	0.520	2.72	24.43	12.41	5.24	2.28	0.96
BUF	3-4	0.506	1.29	18.49	8.94	3.63	1.53	0.63
OAK	3-3	0.483	4.34	24.89	11.47	4.40	1.76	0.68
STL	3-3	0.473	13.39	26.38	11.09	4.16	1.59	0.62
WAS	3-4	0.459	17.27	20.77	8.30	2.95	1.07	0.40
TEN	1-5	0.457	17.07	17.36	6.77	2.43	0.90	0.33
KC	2-5	0.456	0.88	7.26	2.98	1.06	0.40	0.14
NO	3-4	0.455	0.53	8.59	3.39	1.19	0.43	0.16
BAL	1-6	0.450	0.06	0.98	0.38	0.13	0.05	0.02
IND	3-4	0.446	52.69	53.02	20.14	7.01	2.52	0.89
SD	2-5	0.441	0.99	3.83	1.51	0.52	0.19	0.07
TB	2-4	0.434	0.21	4.82	1.81	0.60	0.21	0.07
CLE	2-5	0.432	0.32	1.79	0.67	0.22	0.08	0.03
DAL	2-4	0.428	7.08	8.10	2.95	0.97	0.32	0.11
HOU	2-5	0.420	16.91	17.25	6.13	1.99	0.67	0.22
CHI	2-4	0.399	0.27	2.38	0.78	0.24	0.07	0.02
JAC	2-5	0.396	13.33	13.91	4.64	1.41	0.44	0.14
DET	1-6	0.391	0.02	0.15	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00
SF	2-5	0.350	0.25	0.63	0.18	0.05	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]