Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 14, Sunday

Carolina over New England

The AFC and NFC both have new favorites again, due to Carolina's stomping of Atlanta, and Cincinnati's loss to Pittsburgh. Carolina finally, officially, clinched their first round bye at 13-0.

After all my hard work figuring out the scenario that gets them into the playoffs, San Diego went and lost to eliminate themselves. Also eliminated Sunday were San Francisco, Tennessee, Detroit, and Baltimore.

New England has clinched at least a tie for the AFC East, and New York needs 19 different games to go their way to win via strength of victory. I don't think they can win strength of schedule. Besides winning all their games and hoping New England loses out, they need Cleveland, Miami, and Tennessee to win out to increase their strength of victory, and Houston, Buffalo, and Pittsburgh to lose out, to lower New England's. Since Miami's one of the teams that needs to win out, New England could clinch their division as early as tonight.

The Rams pulled out a victory over a mediocre Lions team, so I'm holding out hope they can make it to 8-8 and maybe grab a wildcard slot. They've got a short week this week with a game against Tampa on Thursday - in possibly their last game in St. Louis ever - then plenty of rest before traveling to San Francisco and Seattle to hopefully finish strong. They'll need help too, since Seattle and Minnesota both already have 8 wins.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
CAR	13-0	0.767	+	+	+	67.64	38.69	22.27
ARI	11-2	0.748	99.95	+	97.23	62.24	32.66	18.00
NE	11-2	0.744	100.00	+	98.81	61.42	34.91	18.07
CIN	10-3	0.733	97.41	99.87	86.10	52.31	28.01	14.11
SEA	8-5	0.690	0.05	97.95	69.19	28.74	13.62	6.55
KC	8-5	0.676	22.83	90.33	58.71	26.17	12.34	5.39
PIT	8-5	0.661	2.59	71.34	42.79	17.94	8.24	3.47
GB	9-4	0.649	75.14	99.66	68.34	26.38	10.85	4.72
NYJ	8-5	0.639	0.00	41.01	21.66	8.71	3.80	1.51
DEN	10-3	0.630	77.17	94.61	65.91	27.96	11.44	4.45
BUF	6-7	0.530	-	2.32	0.82	0.24	0.08	0.02
NYG	5-7	0.520	15.74	18.50	6.41	1.65	0.51	0.16
MIN	8-5	0.507	24.86	86.53	30.66	7.51	2.21	0.67
ATL	6-7	0.466	-	1.73	0.61	0.13	0.03	0.01
PHI	6-7	0.459	37.75	38.03	11.18	2.41	0.62	0.16
OAK	6-7	0.448	-	0.51	0.16	0.04	0.01	0.00
WAS	6-7	0.447	45.69	47.11	13.37	2.76	0.68	0.17
JAC	5-8	0.445	7.38	7.38	2.13	0.51	0.13	0.03
TB	6-7	0.433	-	6.51	2.04	0.39	0.09	0.02
HOU	6-7	0.430	49.84	49.84	13.74	3.11	0.75	0.17
BAL	4-9	0.423	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	5-8	0.414	-	1.69	0.45	0.08	0.02	0.00
MIA	5-7	0.379	-	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
NO	5-8	0.378	-	0.89	0.21	0.03	0.01	0.00
DET	4-9	0.366	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	3-10	0.353	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	5-8	0.352	-	0.61	0.15	0.02	0.00	0.00
IND	6-7	0.350	42.78	42.78	9.16	1.59	0.30	0.05
DAL	4-9	0.338	0.81	0.81	0.16	0.02	0.00	0.00
SD	3-10	0.334	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	3-10	0.283	-	-	-	-	-	-
SF	4-9	0.237	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 11, Final)

First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: Carolina (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Carolina (Week 14, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Miami (Week 11, Final)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]