Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 9, Thursday

Arizona over Cincinnati

Cincinnati took advantage of the schedule and is just slightly ahead in the AFC now, and is first to cross the 99.9% threshold for playoff chances. Cincinnati is also more favored to win their division than New England is in theirs, due to the record and strength of the second place teams, which gives them just enough edge to keep them positioned to make it to the Superbowl. However, I suspect New England will dominate Washington on Sunday, and retake the AFC lead, and possibly take the overall #1 spot from Arizona.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
ARI	6-2	0.668	72.04	86.32	69.87	42.17	25.17	13.79
NE	7-0	0.661	94.33	99.70	88.35	52.79	29.38	16.59
CIN	8-0	0.654	99.11	99.96	91.41	54.50	29.66	16.53
DEN	7-0	0.619	95.11	98.84	80.27	42.16	21.02	10.93
CAR	7-0	0.603	77.18	97.01	84.80	45.08	22.68	10.85
GB	6-1	0.590	73.69	92.33	73.24	36.76	18.14	8.44
ATL	6-2	0.576	21.42	79.66	50.53	24.08	11.43	5.15
NYJ	4-3	0.568	4.89	63.23	35.65	14.96	6.68	3.12
SEA	4-4	0.565	10.12	23.34	12.18	5.71	2.70	1.19
MIN	5-2	0.560	26.23	56.46	34.29	15.69	7.25	3.15
PHI	3-4	0.550	39.72	40.98	19.98	8.87	3.96	1.68
PIT	4-4	0.550	0.88	33.40	16.75	6.69	2.89	1.30
KC	3-5	0.526	0.98	21.66	10.22	3.84	1.57	0.67
STL	4-3	0.525	17.83	39.07	19.74	8.42	3.62	1.45
NYG	4-4	0.512	33.11	34.42	15.47	6.27	2.56	1.00
OAK	4-3	0.509	3.80	47.09	22.85	8.27	3.22	1.32
BUF	3-4	0.506	0.65	20.82	9.58	3.44	1.34	0.54
NO	4-4	0.465	1.07	13.54	5.60	2.02	0.75	0.26
MIA	3-4	0.462	0.14	9.99	4.00	1.28	0.45	0.16
WAS	3-4	0.459	20.83	22.53	9.03	3.21	1.15	0.39
BAL	2-6	0.456	0.01	1.99	0.73	0.23	0.08	0.03
IND	3-5	0.441	45.55	45.93	18.25	5.49	1.75	0.61
HOU	3-5	0.440	32.64	33.16	13.17	3.96	1.26	0.43
SD	2-6	0.436	0.10	1.50	0.54	0.16	0.05	0.02
TB	3-4	0.436	0.33	7.23	2.78	0.93	0.32	0.10
TEN	1-6	0.424	6.38	6.49	2.48	0.71	0.22	0.07
DAL	2-5	0.421	6.34	6.48	2.29	0.73	0.24	0.07
JAC	2-5	0.396	15.43	16.11	5.72	1.51	0.42	0.13
CHI	2-5	0.390	0.07	0.58	0.19	0.05	0.02	0.00
CLE	2-7	0.370	0.00	0.14	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
DET	1-7	0.341	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	2-6	0.313	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 9, Thursday)


[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]