Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 8, Thursday

New England over Green Bay

New England steamrolled Miami as expected, and lengthened their lead in the AFC. They are now the strongest team in the league (though not everyone has played 7 games so that's not totally fair), and the first team reach the 99% threshold for playoff chances. I got to watch the entire second half of this game, and I noticed they didn't slow down even when they probably could have. That may mean their numbers are a bit inflated, because playing to burn clock on offense like most other teams seem to, they might have won this game 29-7 instead of 36-7, or maybe even 22-7. Of course, maybe the ability to keep playing hard instead of burning the clock means precisely that they are a strong team, both offensively and defensively.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	7-0	0.661	90.35	99.69	92.81	57.22	33.80	19.19
ARI	5-2	0.647	74.25	84.61	63.51	36.08	20.54	11.21
GB	6-0	0.617	85.16	97.05	84.68	45.98	24.37	12.50
CIN	6-0	0.601	87.87	98.42	82.21	44.01	21.72	10.95
CAR	6-0	0.598	61.89	96.09	77.96	40.66	20.35	10.05
NYJ	4-2	0.595	8.99	80.24	51.87	24.66	12.28	6.11
DEN	6-0	0.582	93.55	96.80	75.48	37.95	17.88	8.65
ATL	6-1	0.579	37.37	91.92	64.52	31.48	15.08	7.16
PIT	4-3	0.560	11.74	50.78	28.24	12.55	5.75	2.66
SEA	3-4	0.559	12.11	23.43	11.62	5.34	2.50	1.14
MIN	4-2	0.554	14.56	52.01	29.29	13.24	6.06	2.72
PHI	3-4	0.550	32.62	35.84	17.52	7.78	3.49	1.56
NYG	4-3	0.520	43.35	47.56	22.52	9.33	3.91	1.63
BUF	3-4	0.506	0.56	19.99	9.50	3.64	1.49	0.61
OAK	3-3	0.483	4.45	26.89	12.14	4.41	1.70	0.66
STL	3-3	0.473	13.39	26.40	11.10	4.16	1.59	0.59
MIA	3-4	0.462	0.10	9.44	3.93	1.34	0.50	0.18
WAS	3-4	0.459	16.64	20.06	8.00	2.85	1.03	0.37
TEN	1-5	0.457	16.38	16.74	6.48	2.21	0.79	0.29
KC	2-5	0.456	0.91	8.12	3.29	1.10	0.40	0.14
NO	3-4	0.455	0.54	8.58	3.39	1.19	0.43	0.15
BAL	1-6	0.450	0.07	1.21	0.47	0.15	0.06	0.02
IND	3-4	0.446	54.21	54.62	20.62	6.83	2.36	0.83
SD	2-5	0.441	1.09	4.41	1.71	0.55	0.19	0.07
TB	2-4	0.434	0.21	4.83	1.81	0.60	0.21	0.07
CLE	2-5	0.432	0.32	2.10	0.77	0.24	0.08	0.03
DAL	2-4	0.428	7.39	8.47	3.09	1.01	0.34	0.11
HOU	2-5	0.420	16.24	16.65	5.87	1.81	0.59	0.19
CHI	2-4	0.399	0.27	2.38	0.78	0.24	0.07	0.02
JAC	2-5	0.396	13.17	13.89	4.61	1.33	0.40	0.12
DET	1-6	0.391	0.02	0.15	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00
SF	2-5	0.350	0.25	0.63	0.18	0.05	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]