2015-10-30

Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 8, Thursday

New England over Green Bay

New England steamrolled Miami as expected, and lengthened their lead in the AFC. They are now the strongest team in the league (though not everyone has played 7 games so that's not totally fair), and the first team reach the 99% threshold for playoff chances. I got to watch the entire second half of this game, and I noticed they didn't slow down even when they probably could have. That may mean their numbers are a bit inflated, because playing to burn clock on offense like most other teams seem to, they might have won this game 29-7 instead of 36-7, or maybe even 22-7. Of course, maybe the ability to keep playing hard instead of burning the clock means precisely that they are a strong team, both offensively and defensively.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE7-00.66190.3599.6992.8157.2233.8019.19
ARI5-20.64774.2584.6163.5136.0820.5411.21
GB6-00.61785.1697.0584.6845.9824.3712.50
CIN6-00.60187.8798.4282.2144.0121.7210.95
CAR6-00.59861.8996.0977.9640.6620.3510.05
NYJ4-20.5958.9980.2451.8724.6612.286.11
DEN6-00.58293.5596.8075.4837.9517.888.65
ATL6-10.57937.3791.9264.5231.4815.087.16
PIT4-30.56011.7450.7828.2412.555.752.66
SEA3-40.55912.1123.4311.625.342.501.14
MIN4-20.55414.5652.0129.2913.246.062.72
PHI3-40.55032.6235.8417.527.783.491.56
NYG4-30.52043.3547.5622.529.333.911.63
BUF3-40.5060.5619.999.503.641.490.61
OAK3-30.4834.4526.8912.144.411.700.66
STL3-30.47313.3926.4011.104.161.590.59
MIA3-40.4620.109.443.931.340.500.18
WAS3-40.45916.6420.068.002.851.030.37
TEN1-50.45716.3816.746.482.210.790.29
KC2-50.4560.918.123.291.100.400.14
NO3-40.4550.548.583.391.190.430.15
BAL1-60.4500.071.210.470.150.060.02
IND3-40.44654.2154.6220.626.832.360.83
SD2-50.4411.094.411.710.550.190.07
TB2-40.4340.214.831.810.600.210.07
CLE2-50.4320.322.100.770.240.080.03
DAL2-40.4287.398.473.091.010.340.11
HOU2-50.42016.2416.655.871.810.590.19
CHI2-40.3990.272.380.780.240.070.02
JAC2-50.39613.1713.894.611.330.400.12
DET1-60.3910.020.150.050.010.000.00
SF2-50.3500.250.630.180.050.010.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Thursday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]

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