2014-01-19

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Championship Sunday

Seattle over Denver

The best teams as measured by my strength metric have made the Superbowl. I've been picking Seattle for quite some time, and Denver most weeks after the first time they beat Kansas City. I'll feel a little torn, since a Seattle win would seem to validate my system, but I'd like to see Peyton Manning get another ring. Mostly I'll just be hoping for game close enough to bring us 55 to 60 more minutes of exciting football to end the season.

And for zany commercials, of course.

Officially, I've got Seattle as almost a 2:1 favorite, but that feels awfully high on a neutral field. We'll see what happens in 2 weeks.

TEAMRecordStrengthChamp
SEA13-30.85662.763
DEN13-30.77937.237

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)
First to 60% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Championship Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]
[Divisional Sunday]
[Mid-Championship Sunday]

1 comment:

  1. Just wanted to say congrats. You're one of 4 people who pick both teams correct in my Super Bowl contest and you're the only one to pick Seattle to win.

    ReplyDelete