Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 17, Final

Seattle over Denver

The projection I've had for quite a few weeks now has held up, and Seattle and Denver are finally the top 2 teams in strength as well. I was rather disappointed that Pittsburgh didn't make the playoffs, partially because I just like seeing unlikely things happen.

Green Bay is the longest shot to win the Superbowl, but that's a little misleading. They've got a negative point differential on the year, which is how I derive team strength. However, in several games, they were without a pretty important individual, their star QB Aaron Rodgers. So, today's team should be better than what I show here, which is the average Green Bay team over the last 16 games.

Looking at all these playoff teams, I think I'll be mostly rooting for the Chiefs in the AFC, and the Broncos if they are eliminated. In the NFC, it'll be Green Bay followed by New Orleans.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	13-3	0.856	+	+	+	69.594	45.655	30.937
DEN	13-3	0.779	+	+	+	64.291	37.787	17.325
CAR	12-4	0.779	+	+	+	61.933	26.665	14.851
SF	12-4	0.770	-	+	78.358	34.394	15.872	8.640
KC	11-5	0.738	-	+	67.874	32.691	16.906	6.851
CIN	11-5	0.738	+	+	65.618	36.291	17.477	7.084
NO	11-5	0.717	-	+	62.044	18.576	8.128	3.871
NE	12-4	0.695	+	+	+	46.721	20.526	7.318
ARI	10-6	0.616	-	-	-	-	-	-
PHI	10-6	0.608	+	+	37.956	11.604	2.907	1.043
SD	9-7	0.596	-	+	34.382	10.146	3.959	1.058
IND	11-5	0.572	+	+	32.126	9.861	3.344	0.830
DET	7-9	0.537	-	-	-	-	-	-
PIT	8-8	0.518	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	8-8	0.512	-	-	-	-	-	-
GB	8-7-1	0.480	+	+	21.642	3.898	0.773	0.194
STL	7-9	0.466	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	7-9	0.462	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIA	8-8	0.458	-	-	-	-	-	-
CHI	8-8	0.446	-	-	-	-	-	-
BAL	8-8	0.429	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	6-10	0.400	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	5-10-1	0.350	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-12	0.335	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	7-9	0.311	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	4-12	0.303	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	8-8	0.295	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	4-12	0.288	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	4-12	0.263	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-13	0.253	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-14	0.210	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	4-12	0.174	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]