2013-12-23

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 16, Sunday

Seattle over Denver

Seattle is still on top, though a San Francisco win tonight could put that in jeopardy next week. A San Francisco loss would clinch the NFC West for them. The Lions were eliminated by their loss, despite Green Bay and Chicago's losses, since they'll play each other this week and the winner will have 9 wins, or 8 wins and a tie.

On the AFC side, Denver already has a first round bye, and is the favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh stayed alive in the playoff race by virtue of losses by Miami and Baltimore, and wins by themselves and the Jets. 3 out of 4 of those were wins by underdogs in my ratings, so Pittsburgh's chances increased over 30-fold, from 0.3% to 9.3%

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA12-30.82490.327+98.43265.32740.84926.583
CAR11-40.77588.891+97.28062.35430.29317.537
DEN12-30.751+++61.91435.96316.668
SF10-40.7489.67394.42372.48331.73415.4538.388
KC11-40.742-+63.43233.08518.7198.462
CIN10-50.710++71.13138.32818.7207.728
NO10-50.67511.10994.17365.11323.5818.9074.051
NE11-40.672++87.34342.38818.6436.930
ARI10-50.622-11.4046.5941.7930.6360.254
PHI9-60.60458.90558.90523.2117.4352.1680.827
SD8-70.591-7.0552.8730.9520.3630.108
IND10-50.572++44.89615.9745.4901.539
DET7-80.538------
DAL8-70.51541.09541.09512.2202.9430.6880.208
STL7-80.504------
PIT7-80.492-9.2982.9460.7340.2160.048
MIA8-70.489-58.84818.8624.6561.3520.297
GB7-7-10.47151.71251.71212.7722.5260.5500.146
BAL8-70.466-24.7988.5181.9690.5340.109
CHI8-70.45448.28848.28811.8952.3050.4570.116
TEN6-90.451------
BUF6-90.427------
ATL4-100.355------
MIN4-10-10.353------
TB4-110.333------
CLE4-110.332------
OAK4-110.296------
NYG6-90.290------
WAS3-120.282------
NYJ7-80.277------
HOU2-130.229------
JAC4-110.173------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]

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