2013-01-07

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Seattle over Denver

All 4 of my picks came up on Wildcard weekend. I really like how the NFL has structured the playoffs, although I did miss having a Sunday night game last night. If Roger Goodell gets his way and the playoffs expand to 14, maybe that can happen in Wildcard weekend next year. Next up is Divisional weekend, with 4 more games. I've got the road teams picked to lose in 3 of the 4 again, and again, the outlier is Seattle. I'm not sure they can realistically go into Atlanta after the Falcons had a bye week, something my model doesn't take into account. But, you can see my picks from the table below, let's see who I'm rooting for.

Seattle at Atlanta
I'm a little ambivalent about this one. Somehow, deep down, I sort of like the Seahawks, at least once the Rams are eliminated.

Green Bay at San Francisco
I'll root for Green Bay in this one, I've liked the Packers going back to the Brett Favre days.

Baltimore at Denver
I like Manning, I don't like Ray Lewis. Denver all the way.

Houston at New England
I guess I'll root for Houston, but this game is a team I don't like versus one I'm pretty neutral towards. So, go Houston, beat New England!

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE12-40.826+++70.53340.21023.350
SEA11-50.825-++63.28140.56222.096
DEN13-30.821+++74.78641.33623.669
SF11-4-10.754+++58.94326.06611.480
ATL13-30.733+++36.71918.6987.735
GB11-50.681+++41.05714.6745.233
HOU12-40.664+++29.46710.8214.022
BAL10-60.607+++25.2147.6332.414

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 25% Chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 17)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Atlanta (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Saturday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17]
[Wildcard Saturday]

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