2012-12-17

Superbowl XLVII Projection, Week 15, Sunday

San Francisco over Houston

The NFL knew what they were doing when they put San Francisco at New England in the Sunday night slot all the way back when the schedule was released. I had this picked as the Superbowl matchup, but with the wrong winner. The fortunes have now flipped though, and while New England is the strongest AFC team, their seeding puts them behind Houston and Denver in terms of likelihood to win the conference.

All of this week's teams who clinched did so with a win, and all those eliminated lost. That feels a little "cleaner" to me, as no teams had things happen to them.

Division Clinchers:
AFC South - Houston
NFC North - Green Bay

Division Eliminations:
AFC South - Indianapolis
NFC North - Chicago
NFC West - St. Louis

Playoff Clinchers:
San Francisco
Baltimore

Playoff Eliminations:
Tampa Bay
San Diego
Cleveland
Buffalo


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF10-3-10.77595.134+90.48058.84434.29619.709
NE10-40.767++80.27445.41928.19815.388
SEA9-50.7654.86695.42568.73838.17221.61612.129
DEN11-30.735++93.78949.34728.35514.280
ATL12-20.715++99.39453.31925.41112.646
HOU12-20.706++98.65363.67029.50213.822
CHI8-60.679-43.66122.94410.4254.4702.039
NYG8-60.63016.27552.91925.1229.6693.7411.512
CIN8-60.62217.92764.88631.16412.4114.8851.849
GB10-40.605++58.97119.3257.3392.784
BAL9-50.58175.002+55.32219.5106.7142.282
WAS8-60.55551.72860.92720.2936.4032.0930.697
PIT7-70.5247.07129.62710.8553.3351.0290.300
MIN8-60.523-14.1995.8581.7610.4710.143
NO6-80.517-0.0230.0080.0020.0010.000
TB6-80.509------
DAL8-60.47831.99732.8438.1922.0800.5630.152
SD5-90.472------
MIA6-80.464-0.5940.1740.0460.0120.003
CAR5-90.451------
CLE5-90.434------
DET4-100.409------
IND9-50.405-98.19228.5186.0221.2580.256
STL6-7-10.373-0.0030.0010.0000.0000.000
NYJ6-70.369-6.7011.2500.2420.0490.009
BUF5-90.330------
ARI5-90.316------
TEN4-90.303------
PHI4-100.268------
OAK4-100.254------
JAC2-120.201------
KC2-120.177------

First to 10% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% Chance of Superbowl win: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)

First to 80% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 90% Chance of Playoffs: Houston, Atlanta (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99.9% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% Chance of Playoffs: Houston (Week 12, Thursday)
First to clinch a playoff berth: New England, Houston, Denver, Atlanta (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Kansas City (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]

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